Wisconsins Big Ten Path Already Looks Tougher Than Fans Expected

As Wisconsin gears up for Big Ten play, their upcoming slate of formidable opponents, from a dominant Penn State to an unbeaten USC, raises questions about how the Badgers will fare in the conference showdown.

First up for Wisconsin is the one that matters most right now: a road trip to No. 13 Penn State to open Big Ten play. It’s the kind of early conference test that tells you plenty, and it lands in what should be a loud, high-stakes setting.

But with three weeks of the 2026 season already in the books, there’s also enough evidence to take a fresh look at the rest of the Badgers’ Big Ten schedule. Some teams have flashed real strength. Others have already raised the same old questions.

Penn State has only lined up against Marshall, Temple and Buffalo, but the early returns are hard to ignore. Rocco Becht has been efficient and mistake-free, and the Nittany Lions’ pass defense has been brutal, ranking No. 1 nationally at 90.0 yards allowed per game.

Michigan State still fits the rebuilding label, but Pat Fitzgerald has clearly gotten some traction. The Spartans opened with a narrow 10-point win over Toledo, which left plenty of doubt, yet they looked much more competitive in Week 3 against Notre Dame and were within 10 heading into the fourth quarter. They’re not a pushover anymore, though Wisconsin should still go in as the favorite.

UCLA has been one of the more interesting early surprises under new head coach Bob Chesney. The Bruins are sitting at No. 1 nationally in rushing offense at 286.7 yards per game, though that number comes against California, San Diego State and Purdue. The real test is still ahead, with a road trip to Oregon on Oct. 10 likely to reveal more.

USC remains hard to pin down. The Trojans are 4-0, but there’s still a lot of skepticism around whether Lincoln Riley’s team has truly turned a corner.

Rutgers pushed USC hard and scored 35 points in Piscataway, and the week before Louisiana hung 30 on the Trojans in Los Angeles. The offense is still dangerous.

The defense, not so much.

Iowa has already delivered the familiar range of results. The Hawkeyes hammered Northern Illinois and Northern Iowa by a combined 95-0, then edged Iowa State 16-13 at home.

That feels pretty on brand. With Michigan next and Ohio State after that, the picture should get clearer fast.

Rutgers finally got off the schneid Friday night with a home win over Howard, but the bigger story is how rough the first month has been. The Scarlet Knights are 1-3 after losses to UMass, an uninspiring Boston College team and USC. At this point, it’s hard to point to another sure win.

Maryland has a quarterback who is making noise. Malik Washington has been elite in his sophomore season, and the Terrapins still have some work to do to look like a complete team. Wisconsin, though, doesn’t need any reminder of what Maryland did to the Badgers in Camp Randall Stadium last fall.

Purdue has been a bit feistier than expected, and the offense is producing. The problem is on the other side of the ball, where things have looked rough. Wake Forest and UCLA combined for 90 points against Barry Odom’s team, and Wisconsin should still be favored there unless things go completely sideways.

Minnesota is the hardest team to pin down. The Gophers crushed Eastern Illinois and Akron, then lost fairly convincingly to Mississippi State.

That makes the ceiling tough to define, but it also knocks down any talk of this being the year Minnesota turns into a College Football Playoff team. There’s talent on the roster and an NFL-leaning quarterback, yet the flaws are still there.

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