The Pittsburgh Steelers’ season has come down to one game. Week 18.
At home. Against the Baltimore Ravens.
Win, and they’re hosting a playoff game on Wild Card weekend. Lose, and the season’s over.
It doesn’t get much more high-stakes than that.
But here’s the twist: despite playing at Acrisure Stadium and holding the better record, the Steelers are heading into this do-or-die finale as 3.5-point underdogs, according to FanDuel Sportsbook. That’s a reflection of recent form-and maybe a bit of uncertainty under center for both sides.
Let’s start with the Steelers. They’re coming off a rough outing, a 13-6 loss to the Cleveland Browns that raised more questions than answers.
The offense struggled to find rhythm, and while the defense kept it close, it wasn’t enough to overcome the lack of production on the other side of the ball. That loss stung-not just because it was to a division rival, but because it came at a time when momentum was everything.
Meanwhile, the Ravens are riding high after a dominant 41-24 win over the Green Bay Packers. Derrick Henry looked like vintage Derrick Henry, punching in four touchdowns and powering Baltimore’s offense in a way that made them look downright dangerous. That kind of performance is why oddsmakers are leaning their way, even on the road.
But let’s not forget the history here. The Steelers already topped the Ravens once this season, a 27-22 win that showcased Pittsburgh’s ability to rise to the moment in rivalry games.
And when it comes to playing the Ravens at home, the Steelers have had the upper hand more often than not. Since 2016, Pittsburgh is 6-3 against Baltimore at Acrisure Stadium-a stat that carries weight in a rivalry where every inch matters.
One of the biggest X-factors heading into this game? Lamar Jackson.
His status is still uncertain after suffering a back injury against the Patriots, and whether or not he suits up could swing the game dramatically. Jackson’s mobility and playmaking ability have always been a challenge for Pittsburgh’s defense, but if he’s sidelined or limited, it changes the entire dynamic of Baltimore’s offense.
This matchup has all the ingredients of a classic AFC North showdown-tough, physical, and likely decided in the trenches. For the Steelers, it’s about shaking off last week’s disappointment and leaning into the identity that’s carried them this far: defense, discipline, and timely playmaking. For the Ravens, it’s about building off the momentum they’ve generated and proving they can win in hostile territory with the playoffs on the line.
One game. One shot. Winner moves on, loser goes home.
Steelers. Ravens.
Week 18. Buckle up.