Nationals Have A Bigger Rotation Question Than Fans Wanted

As the Washington Nationals strive to emerge from their rebuilding phase, President of Baseball Operations Paul Toboni reveals promising pitchers for the 2027 starting rotation, with Cade Cavalli primed to lead the charge.

The Nationals already sound like they’ve got three rotation spots spoken for, and that’s a meaningful first step for a club trying to climb out of the rebuild.

President of baseball operations Paul Toboni didn’t leave much mystery about how Washington sees the early shape of next year’s staff. In his view, Cade Cavalli, Andrew Alvarez and Connelly Early have each done enough to be included in the conversation for starting roles, while the rest of the rotation remains unsettled.

"Cade we obviously believe in, and I think he's earned a spot," Toboni said, per MLB.com. "I think [Andrew Alvarez] has thrown great, and he's put himself in a position where he's going to be throwing, hopefully, a bunch of high-quality innings for us next year.

We're very optimistic about Connelly [Early] and what he's shown. Beyond that, we're going to be pretty open-minded."

Cavalli is the clearest fixture of the group. The former first-round pick put together a huge 2026 season, finishing with 200 strikeouts and a 3.02 ERA over 32 starts. He also strung together a 15-game run with a 2.08 ERA, a stretch that helped him land a contract extension and cement his place at the front of the rotation.

Early comes next as one of the more notable midseason additions, even if Washington never got a long look at him because of injury problems before and after the deal. The left-hander’s MLB résumé is still brief, but what he has shown has been enough to earn confidence from Toboni, who already knows him from their shared time with the Boston Red Sox.

Alvarez’s inclusion may be the quietest development, but it matters just as much. He hasn’t arrived with the same prospect buzz as some others, yet the lefty has been effective in the majors, posting a 3.24 ERA across 30 appearances, 20 of them starts. That production has clearly put him in line for a real role, even if some regression eventually shows up.

After those three, the picture gets murkier. Jake Irvin is still in the mix, though his 5.00-plus ERA again leaves his spot far from secure.

DJ Herz is back after a long layoff following Tommy John surgery. Riley Cornelio and Brad Lord could also enter the competition, and help could come from the Triple-A level as well.

That’s why the Nationals’ next move matters so much. Having three starters identified this early gives them a foundation, but if they want to keep pushing forward, they still need to be aggressive in free agency to fill out the final two spots.

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