Back in January, Paul Toboni made the biggest move of his early Nationals tenure, sending MacKenzie Gore to the Texas Rangers for five prospects. None of them came with top-100 buzz at the time, but each brought something different to the table. Six months later, the deal still feels like one that will be judged over years, not weeks - but there’s already enough here to get a read on how both sides are faring.
Start with Gore, because that’s where the most familiar story is showing up again. His first season in Texas has not been the step forward plenty of people expected.
His ERA has climbed from 4.17 to 4.80, while his FIP has moved from 3.74 to 3.82. The stuff is still there - the swing-and-miss remains real, and he still has starts where he looks untouchable - but the same old problem keeps surfacing.
When his command slips, the contact gets loud, the innings unravel, and the outings end early. In 21 starts this year, he has given up four or more runs seven times.
The underlying numbers are a little kinder than the surface results, which leaves room for optimism over the long haul. But this is also the third straight season in which Gore’s FIP has been far better than his ERA, and that gap doesn’t tell the whole story anyway.
FIP doesn’t capture every hard-hit ball that stays in the park, and Gore’s 14th percentile hard hit rate points to plenty of damage being done even when the ball doesn’t leave the yard. A lot of people wondered whether a change of scenery would finally unlock the version of Gore they’d been waiting for.
So far, Texas has mostly gotten the same roller coaster Nationals fans already knew.
On the Nationals’ side, the headliner was Gavin Fien, the infield prospect taken 13th overall in the 2025 MLB Draft. He hasn’t actually played any infield this season, instead spending most of his time in center field.
Fien started slowly after joining the organization, but he has picked things up and has been one of the better bats in the system since June 1, posting a 124 wRC+ over that stretch. Long term, he probably fits best in a corner outfield spot.
The hit tool looks about average, and the raw power is solid, with a knack for lifting fly balls to his pull side. He doesn’t look like a franchise cornerstone, but he could be a solid big league corner outfielder.
The name that has drawn the most attention from the return is Devin Fitz-Gerald. He began the year in High A even though he had never gone above Low A in the Rangers system, and he absolutely torched that level with a 132 wRC+ in 51 games.
The climb to Double A has been a different story. In 30 games there, he’s down to a 28 wRC+ and has just one home run after hitting 12 in High A.
He’s still only 20, though, and those struggles aren’t enough to shake the long-term view of him as a pure hitting second baseman.
Abimelec Ortiz was the first player from the deal to reach the majors. He got one start right before the All-Star Break and made the most of it, ripping a double in his second big league at bat before heading back to Triple-A.
In the minors, he has looked like what he was billed as: a first baseman with plus raw power and the ability to get to it in games. He’s put up a 117 wRC+ with 17 home runs in 74 games, and if Luis Garcia Jr. is indeed traded, Ortiz could be in line for regular big league at-bats the rest of the season.
Yeremy Cabera was one of the quieter names in the package, but he made noise fast once he got into the Nationals system. He posted a 186 wRC+ in 30 games at Low A, then earned a bump to High A.
The jump has been rougher, with a 58 wRC+ in 49 games, and the swing-and-miss issues that were present even during his Low A run have followed him upward. Cabera still has the traits to become a big league center fielder, but the bat will have to make enough contact to get him there.
The most uncertain piece of the return is Alejandro Rosario, a right-hander who missed most of 2025 with an arm injury and didn’t undergo Tommy John surgery until a few months ago. Why the procedure took so long isn’t clear, and if he had had it last season, he might already be on the comeback trail. As it stands, he should be back on the mound in 2027, and if he looks anything like he did before the injury, he could end up being a major steal.
It’s still too soon to hand out a winner or loser in this trade. These careers are just getting started, and the real verdict will take time.
But the early read is pretty clear: Gore hasn’t delivered the breakout many expected in Texas, while the Nationals have added five prospects who cracked most publications’ top 30 lists, with one already reaching the majors and another showing up on plenty of top-100 boards. Right now, this looks like a deal Washington would do again every time, and one Texas may wish it could take back.
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