The Nationals are shopping for arms this offseason, and Kris Bubic stands out as the kind of pitcher who could fit in more than one way. The 29-year-old left-hander comes with real health concerns, but when he’s taken the mound over the last few seasons, the results have been good enough to make him an intriguing target. He could compete for a rotation job, or he could wind up as a useful long man in the bullpen.
Bubic’s strongest run came in 2025 with the Royals, when he put up a 2.55 ERA with 116 strikeouts in 116⅓ innings across 20 starts and earned his first All-Star selection. A rotator cuff strain shut him down in July and ended what was shaping up to be a major breakout. Even with the season cut short, that stretch showed exactly why he belongs on Washington’s radar.
The follow-up season in 2026 wasn’t as sharp, but it still gave teams something to work with. FanGraphs had Bubic at a 3.76 ERA, 3.54 FIP and 3.99 xFIP in 55 innings split between Kansas City and Los Angeles.
He also posted a 9.16 K/9 and a 46.8% ground-ball rate, though the 4.25 BB/9 was higher than ideal. Even so, the FIP numbers suggest he was still getting quality results despite another year interrupted by injury.
The pitch data backs up the appeal, especially when it comes to his changeup. In 2026, hitters managed only a .119 AVG and .119 SLG against it, and the pitch produced a 32.1% whiff rate.
His slider drew a 33.3% whiff rate, and his sweeper checked in at 29%. The sample wasn’t huge, but the stuff was good enough to make big league hitters uncomfortable.
Health, though, is the whole story here. Bubic had Tommy John surgery in 2023, dealt with the shoulder strain in 2025, and then missed most of 2026 with elbow trouble.
That makes him a risk, no question. If the Nationals pursue him, they’d need other arms ready in case the injuries keep piling up.
Still, he’s the sort of pitcher worth letting compete for a rotation spot while keeping a close eye on his workload.
There’s also a bullpen path if starting doesn’t stick. Bubic already proved he can handle relief work, posting a 2.67 ERA with 39 strikeouts in 30⅓ innings in 2024.
He also finished the 2026 regular season with 4⅔ scoreless innings for the Dodgers. That kind of background gives Washington some flexibility, whether it’s multiple innings after a short start or a spot start when needed.
ESPN’s Kiley McDaniel projects Bubic to land a two-year, $18 million deal, which feels like a fair number if the Nationals are comfortable with the medicals. It’s still a meaningful bet on a pitcher with an injury history, but the upside is obvious.
If Bubic gets back to his 2025 level, Washington could end up with a bargain in the rotation. If not, he still profiles as a potentially valuable multi-inning piece.
In Other News...
Nationals May Have Found A Bullpen Keeper In An Overlooked Trade
Will Dion arrived in Washington as the kind of trade addition that barely registered at the time, but he quickly turned into a useful bullpen piece for the Nationals. After coming over in the deal involving Foster Griffin, he settled into a multi-inning relief role and gave the club exactly the sort of steady innings every staff needs, working 15 appearances and showing enough strike-throwing ability to earn more trust as the season went along.
What made the run especially notable was how he did it. Dions fastball sat at an average of 91.1 mph, so the Nationals leaned more heavily on his changeup to help keep hitters off balance, and the pitch mix paid off with a 3.00 ERA and 30 strikeouts in 30 innings. For a pitcher who did not arrive with much fanfare, he suddenly looks like the kind of arm a bullpen can keep finding room for. [Read more 🡒]