The Washington Commanders are walking into Sunday with the kind of injury list that shrinks the margin for error to almost nothing. Jayden Daniels is out and officially week-to-week with a dislocated elbow that won’t require surgery, and Washington is also missing Sam Cosmi, Frankie Luvu, Nick Cross, and Chig Okonkwo. That’s a brutal setup for a home opener against the NFL’s hottest team, the Seattle Seahawks, who arrive on a 12-game winning streak that includes last year’s Super Bowl.
Dan Quinn didn’t try to sugarcoat it Friday. “Don't like where we're sitting, but we're not staying here in this spot either.”
For Washington, the clearest path to hanging around starts up front. The Commanders ran the ball well in Dallas, piling up 182 yards on the ground, with Jayden Daniels accounting for 69 of them and Jacory Croskey-Merritt and Rachaad White adding 43 apiece. A lot of that damage came before the game got away in the second half, and Sunday will be a test of whether that production was about the system, the backs, or Daniels himself.
Losing Cosmi makes that challenge harder. Andrew Wylie can slide in, and while he’s not Cosmi, he’s still a workable answer if the rest of the line holds together.
Marcus Mariota’s mindset also matters here. He said that in previous backup appearances he tried to put on the “Superman cape,” but now wants to simply play within the system.
That’s exactly what Washington needs.
This is not the day for Mariota to play hero ball. The Commanders need to run it, stay ahead of the chains, and avoid handing Seattle a chance to tee off on obvious passing downs. If Washington can keep the clock moving and force the Seahawks’ offense to watch from the sideline, the game becomes a lot more manageable.
There’s also an opening on the other side of the ball. Seattle will be without both starting safeties, Julian Love and Ty Okada, and AJ Finley and Rodney Thomas II are expected to fill in.
That doesn’t mean the Seahawks suddenly have a weak secondary, but it is a spot Washington has to test. Mariota described himself as a “point guard” this week, and that fits the assignment: get the ball to Terry McLaurin, Stefon Diggs, Antonio Williams, and the rest of the playmakers, then let them work.
Mariota did give Washington something to build on last week. After Daniels went down in Dallas, he went 11-of-16 for 111 yards and a touchdown.
The Commanders do not need a 350-yard outing from him on Sunday. If the line gives him time and the run game holds up, there should be chances to attack a Seattle defense missing two starters.
The concern, though, is hard to ignore. Washington has allowed seven passing touchdowns in two games and has not given up a rushing touchdown. Dak Prescott went 26-for-31 for 279 yards and four scores against this defense last week, and now the Commanders have to clean that up without Luvu or Cross.
Seattle’s passing game is not exactly showing up quietly, either. Sam Darnold is back, and Jaxon Smith-Njigba just posted three touchdown catches and 155 yards.
That is a rough combination for a defense already trying to find its footing. Quinn has spent the week stressing communication, saying, “You can't get it right most of the time.
You got to get it right all the time.” The Commanders have heard enough about fixing the explosive plays.
At some point, they have to actually stop them.
And if Seattle jumps out early, Washington’s best route to an upset starts to fade fast. Mariota would be forced to chase the game, the run game would lose value, and the pass rush would have a much easier time hunting him behind an offensive line already without Cosmi.
Commanders OC David Blough put the reality plainly this week: “We're not reflecting on what we don't have right now. There's no time for that.
Nobody cares.”
There is a real path for Washington to make this one interesting. It involves winning the trenches, attacking Seattle’s backup safeties, getting pressure on Darnold, forcing a few takeaways, and keeping Mariota comfortable. But the Commanders have not shown enough through two weeks to make you confident all of that will come together against an elite opponent.
The door is open for a competitive game. It’s just not open enough for a full-on Washington pick.
Seahawks 27, Commanders 20
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