The NFL’s first London game of the 2026 season brings an early Sunday kickoff and a matchup between two teams trying to build off Week 3 wins. The Indianapolis Colts and Washington Commanders meet at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium with both clubs sitting at 1-2.
Indianapolis finally got into the win column by edging the Houston Texans 19-17 last week, while Washington answered with one of the day’s bigger results, taking down the Seattle Seahawks 33-31.
The Colts’ season has been shaped by the same familiar problem: teams that slow down Jonathan Taylor have made life much tougher on Indianapolis. Taylor has averaged just 3.9 yards per carry through three games, though he has still found the end zone four times and added nine catches for 67 yards. If the Colts are going to look like their best version, Taylor’s efficiency on the ground has to improve.
Washington’s defense gives them a real chance to control that part of the game. The Commanders have allowed only 3.8 yards per carry, and they rank third in opponent rush EPA and sixth in opponent rush success rate.
The quarterback situation also tilts this matchup toward Washington. Jayden Daniels likely won’t be back, but Marcus Mariota proved last week that he can do more than just hold down the job.
Even so, the bigger edge here may be on the other side of the ball, where Indianapolis has struggled badly. The Colts rank 28th in both opponent EPA per play and opponent success rate.
That defensive profile makes it hard to trust Indianapolis to cover much of anything, especially against a Washington team that just showed it can win a tight game. The play is to take the Commanders with the points.
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