Dylan Larkin’s trade picture may be a little less cramped than it was before, but that doesn’t mean a deal suddenly feels close.
The former Red Wings captain originally limited the list of teams he’d accept a trade to down to Vegas, Florida and Minnesota. That created a pretty tight lane for Detroit’s front office. Vegas didn’t have a real opening down the middle, Florida had already used its cap space and assets on Brady Tkachuk, and Minnesota - while a logical center fit - was short on cap room after sending out a pile of key pieces to land Quinn Hughes last season.
So the talks stalled, and Larkin ended up at camp with the Red Wings, though he wasn’t skating because of an upper-body injury.
Now there’s at least a little more room to work. On the latest 32 Thoughts podcast, Sportsnet’s Elliotte Friedman said Larkin’s list has grown to around eight teams.
Friedman also said the Stars, Lightning, Capitals and Avalanche are believed to be among the clubs Larkin would now accept a trade to. The eighth team remains unknown, except that it is not a Canadian-based team.
Earlier this month, Kevin Kurz of The Athletic reported that Philadelphia was not on Larkin’s list.
That expansion gives interim GM Shawn Horcoff more possibilities, but the fit still looks complicated for most of the names being discussed.
Dallas, for instance, is not exactly sitting on a pile of cap space. The Stars also know Jason Robertson is headed for a major payday next summer, which means flexibility matters.
Roope Hintz would be the most obvious piece to headline a center-for-center idea, and his contract is close enough to Larkin’s to make the money work, but it’s fair to ask whether Dallas wants to make a sideways move. The Stars are mostly set at center already, and they don’t have a deep stash of future assets if Detroit wants more than a straight swap.
Tampa Bay brings a different kind of problem. Nikita Kucherov is a pending UFA and is reportedly looking for a raise that would more than double his current $9.5MM AAV.
That alone would make the Lightning cautious about taking on another expensive player. Anthony Cirelli could help the numbers since he makes about $2.5MM less than Larkin, but he has full trade protection and might not be eager to leave a contender for a non-playoff team.
And even if the Lightning wanted to get creative, their prospect pool is not especially deep.
Colorado has its own roadblocks. The Avalanche have spent the past few years trying to shore up the middle of the ice, and now they already have Brock Nelson and Nazem Kadri behind them in the center mix.
That makes them look fairly set at the position. Both players also have trade protection, and the Avs don’t have much draft-pick or prospect capital to make a deal more appealing.
On top of that, Detroit probably isn’t eager to swap for a mid-30s center anyway.
That leaves Washington as the most interesting possibility of the bunch, even if it comes with its own issues. The Capitals have the least cap space of any of the teams mentioned, but they also have Pierre-Luc Dubois, whose $8.5MM AAV is only $200K below Larkin’s.
If Dubois waived his no-move clause, a center-for-center deal would be far easier to structure. Washington also has a strong prospect pool and nearly all of its draft picks, which gives it real ammunition if it wants to build a competitive offer.
The question is whether GM Chris Patrick wants to make another major move in the top six after several significant roster changes already this summer.
So Larkin’s expanded list does create more paths than before. It just doesn’t create many clean ones.
Horcoff now has more teams to call, but most of the options still look awkward on paper, which means a viable trade may remain hard to find. If nothing comes together, the situation could get even more interesting once Larkin is cleared to return from his injury.
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