Virginia Tech’s path to the top of the ACC starts with reality, not wishful thinking. A year after a 3-9 season, the Hokies are being talked about as a title contender, and that sounds like a stretch until you look at the league around them.
The modern ACC has flattened out. Last season, five teams finished tied for first at 6-2, and Virginia also landed at 6-3 after an extra conference game against NC State that was officially treated as a non-conference matchup because of earlier scheduling agreements.
That kind of logjam changes the math. Virginia Tech does not need a perfect season to matter in the race, but it does need to clean up a few things if it wants to be in the mix when the year closes. The biggest issues are simple enough to name, even if fixing them is anything but simple: late-game execution, quarterback play, and the protection in front of the quarterback.
The schedule is already a heavy lift. Virginia Tech will face five of the ACC’s best teams in Pitt, Miami, SMU, Clemson and Virginia.
Pitt, Miami and SMU were part of last year’s title conversation, while Clemson has long been in the College Football Playoff picture. The Hokies are not being asked to storm into CFP territory here, but the ceiling under Franklin could eventually get them into the top 12 by season’s end.
Right now, the immediate job is narrower: finish better when games tighten up.
That matters because close games have already been a problem. Virginia Tech lost five one-score games in 2024, and that history hangs over a team that is likely to find itself in more tight finishes again this season.
If the Hokies can turn some of those swings the other way, an eight- or nine-win year could be enough to put them in the ACC title conversation, depending on how the rest of the league sorts itself out. Another messy tie for second place would be hard to predict, but that sort of record could be enough to get Virginia Tech into the title game mix.
Quarterback play has been the bigger drag for this program for a long time. Virginia Tech has not won more than seven games in a season since 2019, and that has much to do with what it has gotten under center. This year, though, the floor looks better.
Redshirt sophomore Ethan Grunkemeyer is in his first season with the Hokies after being forced into action midway through the 2025 campaign when Drew Allar suffered a season-ending injury. In seven starts, Grunkemeyer passed for 1,339 yards with eight touchdowns and four interceptions.
He is a pocket passer rather than a dual-threat option, and the rushing numbers show it: minus-46 net rushing yards on 35 carries, with 13 of those yards coming on sacks. Still, there is something promising in the profile.
His 69.1% completion rate in 2025 would stand as the best single-season mark in Virginia Tech history if he can match it, and he finished strong by throwing six touchdowns with no interceptions over his final four games.
For all the talk about the quarterback, the offensive line may end up deciding how far this thing goes. Grunkemeyer is not built to make his own life easier with his legs, so the pocket has to hold.
That’s where Virginia Tech’s season can tilt one way or the other. Grunkemeyer posted a 76.2 grade from Pro Football Focus when kept clean, but that dropped to 44.7 when pressure arrived.
If the Hokies can keep his pressured snaps under 30%, he should be set up for a strong first year in Blacksburg.
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