Virginia Has 3 Big Questions Despite Top 20 Expectations

As the Virginia Cavaliers gear up for the 2026-27 season, all eyes are on their strategic improvements and stellar returning roster, making them a formidable force in college basketball.

Ryan Odom’s first season in charge of Virginia Basketball could hardly have gone better. With an entirely new roster, he guided the Cavaliers to 30 wins, went 15-3 in ACC play, finished second in the league, and earned a 3-seed in the NCAA Tournament before reaching the Round of 32.

Now comes the tougher part: meeting bigger expectations. Virginia brings back every player who still had eligibility and also added more depth through the transfer portal, which is why the Cavaliers enter the 2026-27 season as a consensus preseason top-20 team. Before Sunday’s exhibition against Vanderbilt offers the first real look at the group, three questions stand out.

The biggest one is Chance Mallory. Even with a backcourt full of veteran guards, the freshman found real minutes and made them count, putting up 9.3 points and 3.4 assists in 24 minutes per game off the bench.

This season, he moves into the spotlight as the lead guard and a consensus sophomore breakout pick. If Mallory takes another jump and gives Virginia All-ACC-level play, that pairs awfully well with Thijs De Ridder, who is back after averaging 15.6 points and 6.2 rebounds.

That combination would go a long way toward keeping the Cavaliers in the upper tier of the ACC.

The next issue is perimeter shooting, and specifically who replaces Malike Thomas and Jacari White. Mallory is already a reliable piece from deep at 35%, but Virginia is losing two of its best outside shooters.

The new faces include Christian Harmon, who averaged 12.8 points and shot 35% from three at Arkansas State, Jurian Dixon, who scored 15.9 points per game while hitting 39% from beyond the arc at UC Irvine, and Jan Vide, who made just 10 threes at LMU. Mallory and Sam Lewis will carry much of the load, and Virginia will need that group to keep the three-point production from slipping.

That was one of the defining strengths of last year’s 30-win team.

Then there’s the paint. Ugonna Onyenso was a major part of what made Virginia so hard to score on inside, even in a reserve role.

The 7-foot-1 center averaged three blocks in just 18 minutes per game and gave the Cavaliers the kind of interior defense that changes possessions. With him gone, Johann Grunloh becomes the key figure in that spot.

Virginia is almost certainly going to lose some of that rim protection, and the real question is how much of a step back it takes - and whether that makes the Cavaliers more exposed in more games than they expected.

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