Tonight’s TaxSlayer Gator Bowl between Virginia and Missouri isn’t just a battle of two strong programs-it’s a chess match shaped by who isn’t on the field as much as who is. With key contributors on both sides sidelined due to injuries, opt-outs, and transfer portal departures, this game is as much about depth and adaptability as it is about star power.
Virginia, fresh off a 10-win season and an ACC regular-season title, enters the game with uncertainty surrounding two of its most dynamic offensive weapons. ACC rushing champ J’Mari Taylor, who racked up over 1,000 yards this season, is reportedly weighing his options and may choose to sit out to protect his future as he prepares for a postseason all-star game.
If Taylor doesn’t suit up, that’s a major shift in Virginia’s offensive identity. He’s not just a downhill runner-he’s a versatile threat who can catch out of the backfield, block in pass protection, and even take direct snaps in the wildcat.
That’s a lot of production and flexibility to replace.
Then there’s Trell Harris, the Cavaliers’ top deep threat, who went down with a leg injury in the ACC Championship loss to Duke. His status remains a mystery, and we may not know until just before kickoff whether he’s ready to go. Without him, Virginia’s vertical passing game takes a hit, and that could allow Missouri’s secondary to focus more on short and intermediate routes.
Defensively, Virginia will also be without standout cornerback Jason Prevard, who’s entered the transfer portal. That’s a significant loss in a game where depth in the secondary could be tested.
On the Missouri side, the Tigers are dealing with a wave of absences of their own-some expected, others less so. Starting quarterback Brett Pribula is out, which means freshman Matt Zollers will get his third start of the season.
Zollers has flashed potential, but this is a big stage against a veteran-led UVA defense. Expect Virginia to throw some complex looks at him early to test his poise.
Mizzou’s top tackler, linebacker Joshia Trotter, is also out with an injury. Trotter has been the heartbeat of that defense, and without him patrolling the middle, Virginia’s run game-regardless of whether Taylor plays-could find more room to operate. Tight end Brett Norfleet is also sidelined, further limiting Missouri’s offensive options.
And the attrition doesn’t stop there. Missouri has seen nine players hit the transfer portal, including key depth pieces at receiver and running back.
That includes Marquis Johnson and Joshua Manning, two wideouts who could’ve helped stretch the field for a young QB like Zollers. Freshman backs Brendon Haygood and Marquise Davis, as well as defensive end Javion Hilson and a couple of offensive linemen, are also out.
That’s a lot of youth and inexperience being asked to step into big roles.
Despite all the roster movement, Missouri opened as a touchdown favorite, though that line has narrowed to four points as kickoff approaches. And it makes sense-Virginia has the edge at quarterback with Chandler Morris, a sixth-year senior who’s been the steady hand guiding the Cavaliers to only their second 10-win season in program history. He’s experienced, efficient, and knows how to manage a game, especially when the spotlight is on.
Missouri head coach Eli Drinkwitz acknowledged as much, praising Morris and Virginia’s offensive balance. “They have a six-year quarterback who understands what they’re trying to do,” he said.
“They have a very good run game, but do a good job throwing the football. It’s a challenge on us defensively because we’re down a few players.”
If Taylor doesn’t play, keep an eye on Harrison Waylee. The Wyoming transfer has quietly been a solid contributor, rushing for over 500 yards with a healthy 5.0 yards per carry. He’s not as dynamic as Taylor, but he’s a capable back who can keep the offense on schedule.
On the other side, Missouri’s ground game is still a major threat. The Tigers led the SEC in rushing and feature sophomore Ahmad Hardy, who’s had a monster season-over 1,500 yards and 16 touchdowns.
He’s second in the nation in rushing yards and brings a downhill, physical style that can wear down defenses. Virginia head coach Tony Elliott isn’t shy about his respect for Hardy, calling him the best running back in the country.
“Their offense is going to challenge you,” Elliott said. “They’re built a little bit different than maybe what we see in our league from a size standpoint, so it’ll be a really good challenge for us.”
The game plan for both teams likely starts on the ground. Missouri will look to lean on Hardy and control the tempo, especially with a freshman quarterback under center. Virginia, meanwhile, will try to establish the run-whether it’s with Taylor or Waylee-and then let Morris go to work off play-action and quick reads.
In the end, this one could come down to quarterback play and which team adjusts better to the missing pieces. Virginia has the experience edge under center, while Missouri brings the SEC’s top rushing attack to the table. It’s a contrast in styles, a test of depth, and a showcase of resilience.
Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville. With so many moving parts, this Gator Bowl might not look like the game we expected a few weeks ago-but it’s shaping up to be a fascinating one all the same.