USC Opens With One Big Chance To Look Like A Playoff Team

Can USC's high-powered offense and Heisman hopeful quarterback Jayden Maiava meet the lofty expectations against San Jose State's struggling defense in their season opener?

No. 14 USC opens its season with a mismatch, and the Trojans are laying 38.5 points against San Jose State in Week 0.

That number tells the story. Lincoln Riley’s team enters the year with Big Ten ambitions and a quarterback in Jayden Maiava who is firmly in the center of the conversation. USC is expected to be one of the more dangerous offenses in the country again, and this first test comes against a San Jose State team that was 3-9 last season and went 0-6 on the road.

Maiava’s 2025 season gave USC exactly the kind of production it needs to chase bigger goals. He threw for 3,711 yards with 24 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and he added 157 rushing yards and six more scores. That came after he completed less than 60 percent of his passes in 2024, but the upside is obvious enough that he could work his way into the Heisman conversation if the Trojans get into the College Football Playoff.

The numbers behind the offense are even louder. USC finished No. 5 nationally in EPA/Play last season and was No. 1 in EPA/Pass, which is a big reason the Trojans are expected to come out firing again. If Maiava trims the turnovers, the ceiling gets even higher, and so does his draft stock in 2026.

San Jose State, meanwhile, is trying to reset after a rough finish. The Spartans opened 2025 on the road at Texas and got beat 38-7.

They also ended last season on a four-game losing streak, and in four games to close the year they failed to reach 20 points. Their offense finished outside the top 100 in EPA/Play, and now they’re handing the quarterback job to Hawaii transfer Luke Weaver, who has 105 career pass attempts.

That inexperience matters here, especially against a USC defense facing an opponent that oddsmakers clearly don’t expect to keep pace. The total is hovering near 60 points, and if the game does turn into the kind of scoring track meet the market suggests, USC looks like the side most likely to separate and cover.

This is also the first of several manageable games for the Trojans before a key Big Ten meeting with Oregon at the end of September. For USC, the goal is simple: start fast, look sharp, and get out of Week 0 without drama.

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