Oregon Faces A Playoff Gut Check At Ohio State

In a pivotal battle shaping the College Football Playoff race, Oregon and Ohio State are set to expose each other's vulnerabilities when they clash.

Oregon’s trip to Columbus has all the ingredients of a game that can turn a season sideways. The Ducks arrive with three losses, Ohio State with two, and both teams know the wrong result could send their playoff hopes into a tailspin. With the Buckeyes also dealing with an injury-driven quarterback change, the margin for error feels razor thin.

The matchup inside the Horseshoe starts with Oregon’s best path to an upset: pressure. The Ducks have put together 19 sacks overall, and Matayo Uiagalelei and Teitum Tuioti have accounted for 12 of them.

That kind of heat can change the feel of a road game fast, especially if freshman quarterback Luke Fahey gets rattled early. Oregon also has a quarterback edge worth watching after Dylan Raiola delivered his strongest outing of the season, going 22 of 31 for 336 yards and three touchdowns in a win over Northwestern.

Ohio State, though, brings a defense that can make life miserable for just about anyone. The Buckeyes rank second nationally against the pass and fifth against the run, which gives them a real foundation to lean on if the offense needs time to settle in.

And on offense, the safest route may be on the ground. Ohio State ran for more than 200 yards against USC, and it may need that kind of production again to help cover for Fahey’s lack of experience.

Fahey did show some composure a week ago, finishing 21 of 38 for 260 yards with a touchdown and no turnovers, even if the mistakes were there. He’ll also have plenty of help from the Buckeyes’ playmakers.

Jeremiah Smith remains the country’s most dangerous receiver, and Bo Jackson has averaged 20.7 carries over his last three games. If Fahey can avoid giveaways and get Smith the ball in space, Ohio State has enough firepower to make the Ducks pay.

There is a real upset lane here for Oregon, especially if its pass rush starts winning against an Ohio State offensive line that allowed 21 pressures against USC. Still, the Buckeyes’ defensive edge and the boost of playing at home should carry the day. It should be physical and competitive, but Ohio State looks positioned to pull away late.

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