Lincoln Riley's USC Future Comes With A Massive Catch

Firing Lincoln Riley could cost USC over $50 million, as the Trojans weigh their options amidst pressure to meet lofty playoff expectations.

USC’s season is still alive in the College Football Playoff race, but the conversation around the program has clearly drifted beyond the standings. With Penn State, Ohio State, Indiana and UCLA still on the schedule, the Trojans do not have much room to breathe - and that pressure has only sharpened the scrutiny on fifth-year head coach Lincoln Riley.

The biggest question hanging over USC is no longer just what happens on the field. It’s what it would take for the school to walk away from Riley if things go sideways this season.

Because USC is a private school, Riley’s exact compensation is not publicly disclosed the way it often is at other programs. That said, the reported buyout numbers are enormous. Sports Illustrated’s Bryan Fischer reported it is more than $50 million, while Ross Dellenger of Yahoo Sports estimated it is around $60 million.

Riley arrived at USC in 2022 on a reported 10-year contract worth around $110 million. On3Sports lists his 2026 salary at $11.5 million, which would make him the sixth-highest paid coach in the country.

The results, though, have not matched the price tag. Riley is 40-19 in five seasons with the Trojans, and USC still has not won a conference championship or reached the College Football Playoff under him. Across his head coaching career, which includes his Oklahoma tenure from 2017-21, he is 92-30 overall.

USC’s issues have not been limited to wins and losses, either. Attendance has been a talking point all season, starting with Week Zero’s opener against San Jose State, when the empty stands led USC to release a bizarre statement citing “factors that affected attendance.”

Riley pushed back on the criticism and called the focus on USC’s sparse crowds a “false narrative.”

The issue surfaced again on Sept. 5 against Fresno State, when the Coliseum had plenty of empty cardinal seats at kickoff. And after Oregon beat USC in Los Angeles on Sept.

26, Ducks coach Dan Lanning joked that his team helped fill the L.A. Coliseum.

Riley is 43 years old.

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