Auston Matthews and William Nylander are heading into Maple Leafs camp with their reputations under the microscope, and The Athletic’s latest NHL player tiers made that pretty clear.
For Matthews, the message was simple: he’s still viewed as a franchise-level talent, but no longer in the MVP conversation. One unnamed executive pointed to the dip in his game and said, “There's been a slight downward tick (to his game), not having Marner certainly hurt him...Matthews is in the right spot.”
That slide comes after a stretch that raised real questions about where his production is headed. Matthews scored 27 goals in 60 regular season games last season and 33 goals in 2024-25, a step down from the standard he’s set for himself.
The drop wasn’t about one thing, either. Marner’s absence changed the setup around him, but injuries also played a major role, along with a career-low shooting percentage.
The past two seasons have been especially bumpy. Matthews has dealt with injuries to his backhand and wrist, both of which would affect his ability to shoot, and he also suffered an MCL tear at the hands of Radko Gudas last season. None of that erased the belief that he can still be elite, but it did push him out of the very top tier for now.
Nylander landed in a different bucket, but the theme was familiar: the talent is unquestioned, the consistency is not. He was placed in the All-Star tier, and one executive didn’t hold back about how dangerous he can look when he’s fully engaged: “He's in the top five or so players in the league when he really plays his best.
His skating, edge work and ability to hold onto the puck is so freaking good. He's so good, and that's why you get so mad at him sometimes when you watch him.”
That’s the heart of the Nylander conversation. Nobody doubts the skill.
The issue is whether he brings enough energy and effort shift after shift to match the ceiling he flashes. Last season, he delivered another 30-goal, 75-point campaign, led the Maple Leafs in points and assists, and finished just one goal behind John Tavares for the team lead.
So the challenge for both players is laid out pretty plainly. Matthews has to show the last two years weren’t the new normal. Nylander has to prove he can keep producing at a star level while bringing more of that edge that critics keep asking for.
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