The Maple Leafs’ path to Zach Werenski has all but disappeared, and the reason is simple: Columbus looks set to keep him.
Werenski was a real offseason talking point for a stretch. The chatter started with rumours that he wanted out of Columbus, then picked up when his agent and his desire to play with Auston Matthews tied him to Toronto. But that momentum has faded, and the latest read is that he’s staying where he is for now.
Elliotte Friedman said he expects Werenski to remain with the Blue Jackets, adding, “I expect that he'll start next year in Columbus.”
That may sound obvious, but it effectively shuts the door on any realistic trade chase. Werenski is coming off a Norris Trophy-winning season in which he put up 22 goals and 81 points, along with a plus-7 rating and 94 blocks. Over his career, he has 465 points in 642 games, and he’s now stacked back-to-back 20-plus-goal seasons.
He’s also got two more seasons left on a deal that pays him $9.58-million per year, which keeps him from being an immediate cap headache. The bigger issue for Columbus is what comes next, because when that next contract arrives, he’s going to get paid.
For the Blue Jackets, the bigger picture is straightforward: they have the backbone of their lineup in place, at least for now. But as the source of the offseason noise showed, that kind of certainty can vanish quickly if the team doesn’t start looking like a regular contender.
Toronto’s shot at Werenski, though, likely died the moment Matthew Knies was taken off the table.
The Leafs were never going to empty the cupboard for him, and once Knies was treated as essentially untouchable, the deal lost its foundation. Easton Cowan and Ben Danford were reportedly offered up, but Columbus passed. The sense was that Knies was the one player the Blue Jackets actually wanted, and that makes sense given how sharply his value has climbed.
Knies’ stock has risen since last season, especially after the contract he signed this summer. He’s young, he’s entering his prime, and he’s on what the source describes as a dirt-cheap deal. That makes him exactly the kind of player teams want in a trade: someone who can help right away and still has room to become even more.
That’s why Toronto chose to keep him rather than use him as the centerpiece for a move like this, even for a defender as accomplished as Werenski.
So the Leafs missed on a player they would have loved to land, and the next realistic window may not come until 2028. For now, though, Werenski looks headed back to Columbus, and Toronto’s search for that premium defender continues.
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