The Maple Leafs and Blue Jackets have been tied to a blockbuster that could send Matthew Knies to Columbus and bring Kirill Marchenko to Toronto, but the deal is still being worked through and nothing is official yet.
Elliotte Friedman first reported that the two teams were in trade discussions. From there, the picture got more complicated fast: an extension for Marchenko is part of the conversation, salary cap math matters, and Knies is included in the package headed back to Columbus.
Pierre LeBrun wrote, “The proposed Leafs-Blue Jackets trade involves multiple pieces, including Knies and Marchenko, and it’s not a done deal yet. Both teams still working through things.
Plus Leafs negotiating with Marchenko’s agent Dan Milstein.”
Emily Kaplan of ESPN added another important layer, saying, “Also, sounds like the trade will only go through with Marchenko agreeing to an extension in Toronto - which is being worked on now.”
Friedman later updated his report and said Columbus had given Toronto permission to talk to Marchenko about an extension, while noting that the final structure was still unclear. He also pointed out, “League-wide opening-night cap-compliant roster deadline is 5 pm ET.”
That cap compliance piece is a big part of the equation, since the Leafs need a roster that works for opening night. Friedman also said, “I believe Toronto is taking Elvis Merzlikins if this goes through.”
The trade chatter has naturally turned into a simple question: who comes out ahead if this gets done?
Eric Engels framed it this way: “Ok… Matthew Knies is a 23-year-old with 58- and 66-point seasons under his belt. Will make $7.75M on cap for next five seasons.
Guy is 6-foot-3, 231lbs, built for playoff hockey. I don’t think we can definitively say that about Marchenko, but he will almost certainly score at a higher clip next to Matthews and potentially prove he is a playoff guy.
Still, he’s 26, he’s topped out at 74 pts and, after this year at $3.85M, he’s getting mega bucks. So, take the other pieces out, who wins this deal?”
Jeff Veilette answered with a different spin: “Standing at a massive 6’3 with 124 points in his last two seasons, Matthew Knies is built for the dance. It remains to be seen whether Kirill Marchenko, who stands at a mere 6’3 with only 139 points in his last two seasons, can fill his Herculean footsteps.”
There’s also a sense that this idea may not have come out of nowhere. The talks may go back as far as the NHL Draft, and while the move feels sudden now, it may have been on the table before. Knies trade conversations have already happened, and the Blue Jackets have been taking calls on Marchenko.
From Toronto’s side, the fit is what makes this tricky. Knies has been a meaningful part of what the Leafs are building, and his contract looked especially valuable in a rising cap environment. Marchenko should bring more goals, but that likely comes with a much bigger price tag once the extension is factored in.
Merzlikins is another wrinkle. The Columbus goaltender is recovering from major shoulder surgery, which makes the move look like salary relief for the Blue Jackets and a chance for Toronto to create cap space by taking on another LTIR situation. Whether he plays this season is still unknown.
If Columbus does land Knies, that would be a strong return for a player who, by the end of his contract, had done everything short of saying outright that he was leaving.
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For Toronto, the timing makes the whole thing more interesting but not especially practical. The Maple Leafs have limited roster and cap space after their recent signings, which means even a player with a familiar face or a useful fit has to clear more than just a quick look from the hockey ops staff. It is the kind of waiver window that can create a lot of noise around former Leafs, even when the path back to Toronto is harder than it looks. [Read more 🡒]
