Kirill Marchenko’s start with the Maple Leafs has been productive enough to settle the debate in one corner and spark it in another.
Through seven games, he has six points, and Toronto has already seen the parts of his game that were supposed to travel with him when the team landed him in a blockbuster deal for Matthew Knies one day before the season opened. He has been more of a driver than a finisher so far, pushing play through the neutral zone, creating chances, and showing why the Leafs expect him to be an offensive piece for the long haul.
But not everyone is sold on what they’ve seen.
On TSN’s OverDrive, former Maple Leaf Jeff O’Neill delivered a blunt critique of Marchenko’s recent stretch, saying the forward has looked off in the last couple of games.
“I think Marchenko has been a little bit sleepy since he scored during that home game. I don't think he's been fantastic. I am totally not dumping on the guy, but he was sleepy during Colorado and he was sleepy during two-and-a-half periods last night.
He had some chances in the end, he tried. But he can definitely be better. It's one guy that needs to be better.”
That view didn’t exactly hold up against the underlying numbers, which showed Marchenko skating hard and tilting the ice in Toronto’s favor. He ranked in the 88th percentile in max skating speed and the 98th percentile in 20-22 mph bursts, while also leading the team in Corsi % against Utah at 87.9%, meaning the Leafs controlled nearly 88% of the puck when he was on the ice.
The bigger issue, though, is finishing. Marchenko’s lone goal so far came on a slick deke into a backhand, but he hasn’t yet turned enough of his looks into dangerous chances near the crease. He has five shots in the slot, but none within three feet of the crease or at the low goal line.
If Toronto wants more from his shot, he’ll need cleaner lanes and a little more bite in the offensive zone. He’s moving the puck well, but there’s also an expectation that he start hunting his own chances more aggressively and use that finish that made him such a dangerous scorer in the past.
That urgency has only grown because of the shot volume drop. Marchenko has just two shots over his last two games after posting 15 combined through his first five. More pucks to the net should naturally lead to more goals, and that’s the next box he needs to check.
For now, the criticism is coming early. But with only seven games on the board and six more years left on the contract, the picture is still very much in the opening chapter.
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