Bobrovsky Is Giving The Leafs Something They Have Missed For Years

Critics doubted the Toronto Maple Leafs' investment in Sergei Bobrovsky, but his impressive stats are silencing the naysayers.

Sergei Bobrovsky arrived in Toronto with the kind of contract that invites noise, and he got it right away. The Maple Leafs signed the 38-year-old goalie this summer, and plenty of people questioned whether a player carrying a $7 million cap hit and a no-trade clause could deliver enough to justify the move.

So far, he’s answering with saves.

After watching Bobrovsky turn in strong outings in Vegas and Colorado against last season’s two Western Conference finalists, the case for the signing looks a lot sturdier. The early numbers back that up, too. A recent MoneyPuck post on X pointed to the season’s first goaltending leaders, and Bobrovsky showed up much higher on the list than many would have expected.

The stat driving that ranking is Goals Saved Above Expected, and the early pace belongs to Dallas Stars goalie Jake Oettinger, who leads with a staggering 6.6 goals saved above expected. That figure figures to settle down as the season goes on. Bobrovsky, meanwhile, sits seventh at 4.7 goals above expected, just 0.2 behind Igor Shesterkin of the New York Rangers in fourth.

That matters because the raw shot totals tell part of the story, too. Through the opening stretch, Bobrovsky was expected to allow more than 16 goals, but he’s given up 12. That’s especially notable given that Toronto’s defense has not exactly been airtight, and there were “a few hiccups there on Saturday night in Colorado.”

For the Maple Leafs, though, the bigger point is simple: this is the kind of goalie they have been chasing for years.

Toronto’s long-running problem has been finding a high-end netminder who can make the timely stops and keep games alive. The last goalie who really fit that description for the Leafs was Ed Belfour in the early 2000 s. Since then, the crease has seen its share of decent stretches, but not the kind of steady, game-saving presence that could cover for shaky team defense.

Since the COVID era, Jack Campbell, Freddie Andersen, Ilya Samsonov, and Joseph Woll have all fallen short of that standard. Anthony Stolarz had a solid run a couple of seasons ago, but health has kept him from becoming a full-season difference-maker.

Bobrovsky has already given Toronto something that has been missing. In Vegas, the Leafs blew a three-goal lead and probably should not have come away with a point, but “Bob” kept them alive. Then in Colorado, when it looked like the game was slipping away after Nathan MacKinnon turned things around by himself, Bobrovsky kept Toronto in it again.

That’s been the difference. Last season, the Leafs did not have a goaltender who could hang around long enough for the offense to rescue them.

Bobrovsky has given them that chance. The late confidence Toronto showed on Saturday night, when it iced the win, fit that picture.

Now the next step is less about performance than availability. The challenge for Toronto is getting Stolarz through the season healthy enough to give Bobrovsky the kind of cover that can help keep him fresh all year.

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