The Toronto Blue Jays and Seattle Mariners are on the verge of an ugly little slice of American League history.
For the first time since 1987, both teams that played in the previous season’s AL Championship Series are set to finish the next year under .500. Toronto is already locked into a losing record, while Seattle is still alive in the AL West but no longer has a path to a Wild Card spot.
Toronto’s fate became official on Wednesday, when it dropped the opener of a doubleheader to the Baltimore Orioles, 4-2. The Blue Jays still have one series left, a three-game set against the Cincinnati Reds, but the ceiling is now 80-82. That means the club that reached Game 7 of the World Series last year before falling to the Los Angeles Dodgers will end this season with a losing mark.
Seattle’s route to this same unwanted club is different, but the destination looks the same. The Mariners have not been eliminated from the postseason altogether, yet they have been knocked out of the American League Wild Card chase. They are seven games behind the Chicago White Sox for the final Wild Card spot.
There is still a sliver of life in the division race. Seattle sits four games back of the Houston Astros and Texas Rangers, who are tied for the top spot in the AL West.
The Mariners have four games left, all against the Los Angeles Angels, and a clean sweep would give them a shot at finishing on top of the division. Even then, their best possible final record would only be 78-84.
What makes this so unusual is the context. Before MLB kept widening the postseason field, a finish like this was rare enough on its own. A single Wild Card was added in both leagues in 1995, the second Wild Card arrived in 2012 along with the one-game Wild Card matchup, and the format expanded again in 2022 with a third Wild Card team in each league and the best-of-three Wild Card Series.
Even with all those extra openings, Toronto and Seattle are about to make the wrong kind of history.
In Other News...
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For Blue Jays fans, the critique lands in a familiar place because Guerrero is still judged not just on what he does, but on what he is supposed to become. Donaldson pointed to the home run totals and argued Guerrero looks more like a line-drive hitter than a true power bat, which only sharpens the ongoing discussion about his overall value and where he fits among the games highest-paid stars. [Read more 🡒]
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Dylan Cease, Jos Soriano and Trey Yesavage are among the names in that conversation, and the Blue Jays still plan to scout the Rule 5 Draft for another possible bargain. Even so, the bigger picture points toward Toronto leaning more heavily on what it already has in house, while leaving room for a free-agent relief addition or two if the market lines up the right way. [Read more 🡒]
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Now Has To Win Blue Jays Fans Back
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Guerrero also pointed to his fathers advice as part of what pushed him to address it directly, a reminder that the episode has become as much about image and trust as it is about baseball. For Toronto, the larger question now is whether the apology is the start of a reset or just the first step in a longer effort to win back a fan base that expects more from its biggest star. [Read more 🡒]