Turns out the Dodgers still haven’t broken baseball.
Not after the free-spending roster. Not after the endless talk about competitive imbalance. And not even after the kind of October run that made Los Angeles look like it might have cracked the sport wide open.
Instead, the Dodgers ran straight into the same wall that has ambushed so many postseason favorites before them. They were swept out of the NLCS by Milwaukee on Thursday night, and an early four-run lead in Game 4 didn’t save them. The Brewers answered with six runs of their own and didn’t let up after the second inning.
That exit matters because the Dodgers had become the face of baseball’s ongoing angst over money and power. After back-to-back World Series titles, they landed Kyle Tucker and then traded for Tarik Skubal, adding another elite arm to a rotation that already looked ridiculous on paper. From the outside, it all fed the sense that the Dodgers were steamrolling the sport itself.
But the reality has been messier. Yes, Los Angeles has pushed past the limits of MLB’s luxury-tax system by loading up on stars and deferring a huge chunk of their money.
The club has more than a billion dollars in deferred salaries hanging over its future books, and its luxury-tax bill sits at about $183 million this year. That’s nearly twice as much as the next team, the New York Yankees.
The Dodgers are paying more in tax penalties than 12 teams spend in actual player salaries. The Brewers, Cleveland Guardians, and Tampa Bay Rays are among those clubs.
And still, all that spending has mostly bought them a seat in October, not a guarantee once October starts.
That’s the part that keeps getting lost in the argument. Baseball’s postseason is built to be chaotic.
With repeated playoff expansions, even the best 162-game team can get knocked sideways in a short series. The Dodgers found that out last year, when they rolled through three rounds, won nine games and lost just one, and then had to survive a wild World Series against the Toronto Blue Jays.
That series could have turned in a dozen different directions. Jeff Hoffman gave up the home run to Miguel Rojas in the ninth inning of Game 7.
Addison Barger launched a shot to left field in the bottom of the ninth inning of Game 6, with Toronto trying to steal the championship, only for the ball to get stuck under the base of the Rogers Centre wall after impact. Barger also got doubled off on a line drive later in that same inning.
Four or five different breaks, and the whole conversation around Los Angeles looks different.
That’s why the Dodgers’ postseason wipeout in Milwaukee is such a clean reminder that inevitability only goes so far. In the regular season, they can feel like the league’s final form. In October, they’re just another contender trying to survive baseball’s random playoff outcome generator.
Milwaukee’s dominance wasn’t an upset in the strictest sense - the Brewers won 103 games this season - but the ease with which they handled Los Angeles still stood out. Yoshinobu Yamamoto, the arm that helped the Dodgers edge past Toronto last year by closing Game 7 after starting Game 6, was knocked out early in his only start against the Brewers. A year ago, that would have seemed impossible.
Maybe none of this changes what’s coming next, either. MLB owners are still expected to push for a salary cap, and a work stoppage this winter remains on the table. The Brewers, Guardians and Rays being among the final four clubs probably won’t slow that down.
But if the lockout does come, the Dodgers’ latest October flop is worth remembering. For all the money, all the stars, and all the noise, baseball still refuses to be fully scripted.
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Brett Bateman Just Changed Torontos Center-Field Conversation
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The performance was enough to draw praise from general manager Ross Atkins, and Batemans willingness to help in any role only added to his appeal. For a club always weighing how to piece together its outfield picture, he has already made himself part of the discussion, even if there is still more to learn about how Toronto plans to use him going forward. [Read more 🡒]
