The AL Cy Young race has become a two-man fight, and it’s not the clean runaway many expected. With under a month left in the regular season, Yankees rookie Cam Schlittler and Blue Jays ace Dylan Cease have pulled away from the field and now sit in the spotlight.
MLB Network analyst Jon Heyman put the situation in plain terms: “September will decide this race.”
Schlittler has built the stronger case in the numbers voters usually lean on first. He’s made 28 starts to Cease’s 25, and his 2.09 ERA across 163.2 innings stands out. He’s also piled up 201 strikeouts, issued 42 walks and posted a 0.97 WHIP.
Cease, though, has answered with the kind of strikeout volume that keeps him right in the thick of it. In 25 starts, he has 217 strikeouts, the most in the American League, while working to a 2.33 ERA over 150.1 innings. His WHIP sits at 1.05, and he has walked 65.
That gives Schlittler the edge in ERA, innings and WHIP, while Cease owns the biggest separator in the race: strikeouts. Neither profile is perfect, but both are strong enough to keep this thing alive into September.
Schlittler has also looked steady as the season has worn on. After tossing 5.2 scoreless innings against Boston, he dropped his AL-leading ERA to 2.09 and topped 200 strikeouts for the first time in his career.
Cease has his own headline stretch, too. He put together a run of at least seven strikeouts in 19 straight starts, the first time that had happened since Randy Johnson in 2001.
So this is where the race stands: Schlittler has the traditional statistical edge and has been working deeper into games. Cease has the strikeout crown and has kept delivering dominant outings for a Toronto team fighting for a playoff spot. Current odds entering September still list Schlittler as the favorite, but a huge final month from Cease could flip everything.
That’s why the last few weeks matter so much. Neither pitcher has broken the race open.
One rough outing could change the picture. One electric September could decide the award.
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