The Blue Jays already found one Rule 5 gem in Spencer Miles, and that success has to be part of the conversation now. Toronto grabbed Miles from the Giants last winter, and he has turned into a key bullpen arm this season. So when Baseball America puts together a list of Arizona Fall League players who may need 40-man protection, the Jays have every reason to keep looking for another swing worth taking.
There are a handful of arms who fit that kind of gamble. Some have been slowed by injuries, some are still sorting out command, and some have already shown enough strikeout ability to make a team think twice about leaving them exposed.
Luke Fox is one of the more interesting names. The Dodgers right-hander is trying to make up for lost time after injuries wrecked his 2026 season, but the stuff has always been there.
He has piled up strikeouts throughout his career, and this year he trimmed his walk rate to 9.3%, the best mark of his career. Fox works with a four-pitch mix of fastball, slider, changeup and cutter, and the first two offerings are the best of the bunch.
The fastball and slider both grade above average, while the changeup and cutter are below average. He has started games, but a move to relief could let that fastball-slider combo play up even more.
Yoendris Gonzalez fits the same general mold: talented, interrupted, and still not fully seen. The Cubs right-hander missed all of 2023, pitched only five games in 2024, then was limited to 22 games in 2025 because of injuries.
This year, he finally got to debut in May and stay on the mound. He only reached High-A, but when he was healthy, he showed the kind of ability teams chase in this format.
His 26.0 K-BB% would rank second in the Majors behind Jacob Misiorowski, which is a loud number no matter the level. If he puts together a strong AFL run, someone could decide the upside is worth the roster spot.
Braxton Bragg is another pitcher with loud bat-missing traits. The Orioles right-hander missed all of 2026 while recovering from Tommy John surgery, but when he was healthy in 2025, he was a monster by the numbers.
His 25.5 K-BB% would have ranked third in the Majors, trailing only Tarik Skubal and Garrett Crochet. He also keeps the ball on the ground, with a 47% groundball rate that would have ranked 13th in the Majors and actually topped future rotation mate Shane Baz, who checked in at 46.7%.
Bragg throws a four-pitch mix - fastball, slider, changeup and cutter - and all of it grades from average to above-average. At 25, if the health and stuff both show up, he’s the type of arm a team could absolutely jump on.
Patrick Reilly is in a similar bucket, though his path looks more like relief. He missed most of 2025 after Tommy John surgery, then returned this season and got extra development time.
Once he reached Double-A, he looked more settled, posting a 27.5 K-BB% over 39.2 innings. Reilly works with a fastball, slider, splitter and cutter, and the fastball is the carrying pitch.
It grades as a 60 and sat in the mid-90s as a starter, touching 98. The rest of the mix is only average at best, and command has been a problem over the years.
That makes him a strong candidate to move to the bullpen if a team takes him.
Hunter Mann brings a very different look. The Rockies right-hander’s 6-foot-7 frame jumps out immediately, but the performance has caught up too.
At Double-A, his K-BB% climbed from 15.8% at High-A to 23%, and he paired that with a 50.3% groundball rate that would rank fourth in the Majors. That combination gives him a clear path: he can miss bats or force grounders, and either way he can help keep runs off the board.
At 25, he’s getting close to a Major League opportunity.
Estibenzon Jimenez is another arm who made a noticeable shift this year. He spent the early part of his career bouncing between starting and relieving, and the results were uneven.
Home runs were a problem, with his HR/9 sitting at 1.21 in 2024 and 1.46 in 2025. This season, though, he worked full-time in relief and the move paid off.
His strikeout rate climbed from 22% in 2025 to 26.4%, and his home run rate dropped all the way to 0.6 HR/9. He’ll be 25 for the 2027 season, and after more than 100 innings at Double-A, he looks ready for the next step.
Then there’s Joey Dixon, the pure lottery ticket of the group. The Astros right-hander has barely pitched over four professional seasons because of injuries, but his AFL assignment is giving him a chance to make up ground.
The profile looks a lot like Miles’ did before Toronto took its shot. Dixon has pitched in only three pro games across four seasons, yet in 6.1 innings this year he struck out 14 batters and walked two for a 50.0 K-BB%.
If he carries that over into the AFL, a team could decide to bet on the talent and hope the development finally catches up.
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Max Scherzer Leaves Blue Jays Fans Waiting On One Huge Decision
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Scherzer still has not said publicly whether this will be his final season, and for now he is keeping the focus on getting through the finish line before talking about what comes next. For a Toronto team already looking ahead to an offseason full of decisions, his choice carries extra weight because it could close the book on one of the sports most accomplished arms or open the door to one more chapter. [Read more 🡒]