The 2025 Toronto Blue Jays were a thrill for those who love making bold predictions. With a 20-win improvement and a near World Series triumph, they proved they could defy the odds. As we gear up for the 2026 Opening Day, let's dive into three bold predictions for the reigning American League champs.
Andrés Giménez: A Historic Shortstop Season
Andrés Giménez is set to make waves at shortstop, potentially delivering the best season at the position in Blue Jays history, measured by fWAR. Although he hasn't been a full-time shortstop since his days as a Mets prospect in 2019, Giménez has the potential to surpass the 4.9 fWAR mark set by Bo Bichette in 2021 and Tony Fernández in 1990.
Giménez has already proven he can achieve a high WAR, reaching 6.1 as a second baseman in 2022. The position change could boost his value, thanks to the higher WAR adjustment for shortstops, provided he maintains his elite defensive skills. Plus, with improved health, he could enhance his base-stealing prowess, having swiped 30 bags in both 2023 and 2024.
To reach that 5.0 WAR, Giménez will need to revive his hitting. His OPS has dipped over the past three years, but if he can become a league-average hitter again, he'll be on track to break records. Following the path of Dansby Swanson, who achieved 4.8 WAR with a 105 wRC+ and stellar defense in 2023, Giménez has a clear blueprint.
No 30-Homer Hitters for the Jays
Despite boasting at least one 30-homer hitter in five of the last six full seasons, the Blue Jays might not see anyone reach that mark this year. George Springer led the team with 32 homers last season, but the power dynamics could shift.
FanGraphs’ Steamer suggests only Vladimir Guerrero Jr. might surpass 30 homers, making this prediction not as far-fetched as it seems. While players like Springer, Guerrero, Addison Barger, Daulton Varsho, or Kazuma Okamoto have the potential, the Jays' strength lies in their line-drive and hard-hit doubles approach. Ranking third in MLB for line-drive rate last year, this strategy didn't hinder their 2025 offense and likely won't this year either.
Trade Deadline Target: Bryan Abreu
The Blue Jays' bullpen, while intriguing, lacks the overpowering fastballs and swing-and-miss capability needed for high-leverage situations. Enter Bryan Abreu from the Houston Astros. Known for his valuable four-seam fastball and a 2025 whiff rate of 41.2 percent, Abreu could be the high-leverage arm Toronto needs.
With the trade deadline approaching, and Abreu becoming a free agent, he might just be the top option on the market. After exploring top relievers last year, the Jays could be primed for a significant bullpen acquisition this summer.
Bonus Predictions
Stay tuned as the season unfolds, as the Blue Jays continue to surprise and engage fans with their dynamic play and strategic moves.