The Padres’ decision to decline Nick Pivetta’s $14 million club option for 2027 has pushed the right-hander into free agency, and it opens a door the Blue Jays ought to walk through.
Pivetta may not carry the same ceiling as his former teammate Michael King, but when he’s right, he’s a dependable starter. That’s the kind of arm Toronto could use in its rotation next season, especially with so many moving parts behind Dylan Cease.
The catch, of course, is health. That’s the entire conversation with Pivetta after this past year. Injuries held him to only eight starts in 2026, though he was productive in those outings, posting a 2.86 ERA and 1.010 WHIP while striking out 42 batters over 34.2 innings.
That small sample fit neatly with what he did in 2025, when he was one of the National League’s best pitchers and finished sixth in Cy Young voting. He turned in a 2.87 ERA, 0.985 WHIP and 3.49 FIP, all career bests.
If that’s the pitcher available, then $14 million looks more than reasonable. The Padres clearly weren’t convinced he’d get back to that level in 2027, or that he’d stay healthy enough to justify the price. Their decision also avoided triggering an $18 million player option for 2028.
For Toronto, the gamble is obvious. Pivetta missed nearly five months with an elbow injury, and that makes any pursuit risky. But if the issue is truly behind him, he could end up being one of the offseason’s best value pickups.
The Blue Jays need certainty in 2027, and right now they don’t have much of it after Cease. Trey Yesavage dealt with uneven mechanics and his own health issues this season, José Soriano didn’t pitch well after arriving from the Los Angeles Angels, and Cody Ponce is coming off a torn ACL. Beyond that, the depth chart leans on several minor leaguers.
Pivetta’s track record before this season is part of what makes him appealing. From 2021 through 2025, he threw at least 145 innings every year, working mostly as a starter while also pitching out of the bullpen at times. The elbow injury was the exception, not the rule.
If the imaging on his elbow comes back clean, there’s every reason to believe he can return to being a reliable rotation piece. And if the market starts treating him like an injury risk because the Padres passed on his option, Toronto should be ready to move.
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Pedersons appeal is obvious enough. He put up 26 home runs last season and has long been a tougher at-bat for right-handed pitchers, which is exactly the kind of middle-of-the-order help Toronto has been chasing. The concern, of course, is the same one that follows him around every winter: the age curve and the way left-handed pitching can still expose him, leaving the Blue Jays to weigh upside against a familiar kind of risk. [Read more 🡒]