The Blue Jays’ 2026 season ended in disappointment, but the mess in Toronto doesn’t land squarely on Ross Atkins or John Schneider.
That’s the basic tension facing the front office after a 79-83 finish and last place in the AL East: the record was ugly, yet the season was also packed with injuries, underperformance and a roster that never seemed to settle into a rhythm. With both men already signed to extensions - Atkins through 2031 and Schneider through 2028 - the bigger question is whether the collapse says more about the people in charge or the team they were trying to steer.
It’s not hard to understand why the organization extended both men before the season. Schneider had just guided the Blue Jays to a World Series appearance in 2025 and had been nominated for AL Manager of the Year before losing to Stephen Vogt of the Cleveland Guardians.
Atkins, meanwhile, had put together a strong offseason. Coming off that kind of momentum, the extensions made sense.
But 2026 turned into a very different story. Toronto finished in the division basement for the second time in three years, even with that World Series trip sitting in the middle of the stretch. That kind of whiplash makes it tough to know exactly how to judge the people running the club.
Schneider’s overall body of work still has some real weight behind it. Since replacing Charlie Montoyo in July 2022, the Blue Jays have gone 382-340. Among Toronto managers with at least one full season, his .529 winning percentage ranks fourth, just ahead of Cito Gaston.
This past year, though, the deck was stacked against him. The injuries piled up, and the starting rotation situation pushed the team into bullpen games far too often. Toronto’s relievers ended up throwing 686.2 innings, the third-most in MLB, which was 89.1 more innings than they handled the year before.
Even with that load, the bullpen was one of the club’s few reliable groups. Its 3.57 ERA ranked seventh-lowest in MLB, and that relief work helped keep Toronto in the playoff hunt longer than the rest of the season probably deserved. The pitchers deserve the biggest share of the credit, but Schneider earned his due for navigating that chaos as well as he did.
One of the recurring debates around Schneider was his handling of Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in the batting order. Guerrero spent most of the season hitting third, with occasional appearances in the first or second spot, even though he was going through the worst offensive season of his career.
Schneider told MLB.com’s Keegan Matheson that he did not want to punish Guerrero for his poor performance. The lineup was built around Guerrero, too, which was part of the calculation.
Still, there was no magic fix available. The Blue Jays were shaky all over the lineup, and moving names around only does so much when the production isn’t there. Atkins didn’t sound interested in putting that failure at Schneider’s feet.
"We feel good about the group that's in place, and we're going to work through that process," Atkins said during the Blue Jays' end-of-season media availability when asked about Schneider and the coaching staff.
Atkins also owned the season himself. "As much as we talk about run scoring, run prevention, defence, base running...There's one person to look at for the reasons for that, and that's me," Atkins said.
There were still some real positives in the roster construction. Dylan Cease is likely to finish second in AL Cy Young voting.
Kazuma Okamoto was by far the Blue Jays’ most productive hitter. Tyler Rogers posted the seventh-lowest ERA among MLB relievers.
On paper, the group was good enough to compete. On the field, it simply didn’t perform.
Atkins deserves credit for putting the team in position to be better than the final record showed. He’ll have to prove himself again, and not every move has worked out - Anthony Santander is one of the worst contracts in franchise history, and Andrés Giménez, despite being one of the better offensive performers this season, has also been listed among the worst contracts in MLB. But 2026 would have looked a lot worse without the moves Atkins made.
There’s blame everywhere in a season like this. Schneider and Atkins both carry some of it. Just not enough to make either one the obvious target.
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