Texas vs. Missouri: Bubble Implications, Key Matchups, and a Late Tip-Off in Columbia
Texas basketball rolls into Columbia this weekend with more than just a win streak on the line. The Longhorns are chasing their fourth straight victory, but Saturday’s clash against Missouri carries NCAA Tournament implications that could shape the March outlook for both programs. This isn’t just another SEC matchup-it’s a high-stakes battle between two teams teetering on the tournament bubble.
Tournament Stakes Are High
Missouri (17-7, 7-4 SEC) currently finds itself in the “First Four” category in the latest projections from ESPN’s Joe Lunardi. Translation: the Tigers are hanging on by a thread and can’t afford many missteps. On the other side, Texas (15-9, 6-5 SEC) is slightly more secure, listed among the “last four byes”-a slightly safer spot, but still far from comfortable.
A win for either team doesn’t just pad the win column-it could be the difference between dancing in March or watching from home. For Texas, this is a chance to create some breathing room. For Missouri, it’s about survival.
Texas Short-Handed, Missouri Riding Momentum
The Longhorns will be without forward Lassina Traore for the second straight game due to injury. Traore missed Wednesday’s 79-68 win over Ole Miss, and his absence will test Texas’ frontcourt depth once again.
Missouri, meanwhile, comes in hot. The Tigers are riding a three-game winning streak, capped by a thrilling 86-85 road win at Texas A&M.
That win didn’t just boost their resume-it showed they can close out tight games in tough environments. And leading the charge?
None other than 6-foot-9 Duke transfer Mark Mitchell, who’s putting up 17.2 points, 5.7 rebounds, and 3.4 assists per game. He’s been Missouri’s engine on both ends of the floor.
Early Game Action: Physical, Fast, and a Little Delayed
The game tipped off later than expected-7:50 p.m. local time-after one of the officials was delayed by traffic on I-70. Once things got underway, the action didn’t take long to heat up.
Texas opened the scoring behind Matas Vokietaitis, who continues to be a steady presence in the paint. The early minutes featured a physical battle between Vokietaitis and Mitchell, each trading buckets and setting the tone for what’s shaping up to be a gritty, inside-heavy contest.
At the 17:25 mark of the first half, it was all square at 4-4, with both big men asserting themselves early. Not long after, Missouri’s Jayden Stone brought the crowd to life with a highlight-reel dunk that wouldn’t look out of place in an NBA contest. That play was followed by a flagrant 1 foul on Missouri’s Shawn Phillips Jr., prompting Texas head coach Sean Miller to get in the officials’ ear early.
With 14:13 left in the first half, Missouri held a slim 11-7 lead.
Projected Starters: Talent All Over the Floor
Here’s a look at who took the floor to start the game:
Texas Starting Five:
- G Jordan Pope - 12.5 ppg, 2.1 apg
- G Tramon Mark - 13.4 ppg, 3.6 rpg
- F Camden Heide - 7.2 ppg, 2.8 rpg
- F Dailyn Swain - 17.3 ppg, 7.3 rpg
- P Matas Vokietaitis - 15.3 ppg, 6.8 rpg
Missouri Starting Five:
- G TJ Barrett - 8.0 ppg, 2.7 apg
- G Jayden Stone - 14.8 ppg, 5.0 rpg
- F Trent Pierce - 10.2 ppg, 4.1 rpg
- F Mark Mitchell - 17.2 ppg, 5.7 rpg
- **F Shawn Phillips Jr.
** - 7.8 ppg, 5.3 rpg
This is a matchup full of intriguing one-on-ones-Swain vs. Mitchell, Pope vs.
Barrett-but the battle in the paint might ultimately decide it. Both teams like to play through their frontcourt, and with Traore out, Texas will need Vokietaitis and Swain to shoulder even more responsibility.
Game Info: How to Watch
- Where: Mizzou Arena, Columbia, Missouri
- TV/Radio: ESPN2; 1300 AM, 98.1 FM
- Betting Line: Missouri favored by 1.5; Over/Under set at 150.5
Bottom Line
This isn’t just a mid-February conference game. It’s a bubble battle with real consequences.
Missouri is trying to prove it belongs in the field, while Texas is looking to solidify its standing and keep climbing. With both teams on three-game win streaks, something has to give-and fans can expect a high-energy, hard-fought showdown from tip to final buzzer.
