Texas A&M Faces A Record Debate Fans Know All Too Well

Analyst J.D. PicKell offers a sobering forecast for Texas A&M's 2026 season, projecting a 9-3 finish despite a promising start.

August is here, and with Texas A&M’s preseason set to begin on August 5, the speculation machine is already rolling. Third-year coach Mike Elko is scheduled to address the media on Tuesday afternoon, right before the Aggies take the field for their first practice the following Wednesday.

One of the latest predictions comes from On3 analyst J.D. PicKell, who has been among Texas A&M’s more bullish national voices in the past, including being one of the few to forecast the Aggies as a College Football Playoff team. This time, though, he’s not projecting another 11-2 type of season for Elko’s 2026 squad.

The biggest reason is the schedule. Texas A&M’s road slate includes trips to LSU, Missouri, Alabama, South Carolina and Oklahoma, and PicKell thinks that kind of lineup makes matching last season’s record a tough ask.

He does see the Aggies opening the year 3-0, with home wins over Missouri State, Arizona State and Kentucky. But he’s also siding with the home team in the LSU game, believing the matchup in Baton Rouge will be much tighter than Texas A&M’s 49-25 rout last season under new head coach Lane Kiffin.

From there, PicKell has Texas A&M bouncing back with wins over Arkansas and Missouri before pulling off a road victory at Alabama in Tuscaloosa. That would put the Aggies at 6-1 heading into a crucial trip to South Carolina.

Chris Marler, an SEC analyst and host of Locked on Gamecocks, already picked South Carolina to potentially "blow out" Texas A&M in Williams-Brice Stadium. PicKell doesn’t go that far, but he does believe the Aggies will get revenge after South Carolina’s embarrassing loss in Kyle Field last season, when the Gamecocks led 30-3 at halftime.

At 6-2, PicKell has Texas A&M beating Citadel and Tennessee at home before dropping a late-season game at Oklahoma in Norman. Even so, he still has the Aggies finishing with a win over Texas at home for the first time since the Longhorns joined the SEC, leaving Texas A&M at 9-3 and, in his view, likely outside the CFP picture. For a roster he believes has talent and depth everywhere, that would still feel like a missed opportunity.

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