The preseason AP Top 25 always brings a fresh round of hype, but it also opens the door to a simple question: which teams are getting a little too much love?
With the poll released Monday, Aug. 17, four names stand out as teams that may be rated a touch too high entering the 2026 season: Texas A&M, Alabama, Penn State and Iowa.
Texas A&M comes in at No. 8, and on paper there’s plenty to like. Mike Elko guided the Aggies to the College Football Playoff a year ago, Marcel Reed is back at quarterback and the defense should again be a strength.
Still, the path ahead looks rough. Texas A&M lost 14 starters to graduation and the NFL draft this offseason, and the schedule does it no favors.
The Aggies have only two home games against top-25 opponents, and they’ll also have to travel to four teams ranked inside the top 25. With that kind of turnover and that kind of slate, this could get bumpy fast.
Alabama checks in at No. 13, and the name still carries weight even if the program hasn’t looked like the old machine under Kalen DeBoer. The Tide have lost four games in each of DeBoer’s two seasons, barely made the playoff last year and then were handled badly in the second round.
Now there’s another major question hanging over the offense: Ty Simpson is gone at quarterback. That likely means former five-star Keelon Russell will be under center, but there’s no guarantee yet on how that plays out.
Alabama deserves to be ranked, but top-15 territory feels aggressive given the uncertainty.
Penn State lands at No. 18, and unlike some of the other teams in this group, there’s a case for optimism. The schedule is favorable, since the Nittany Lions do not play Ohio State, Oregon or Indiana this season.
USC and Michigan look like the toughest tests, and 10 wins is a real possibility. Even so, last season’s disappointment still hangs over the program.
Penn State entered that year with James Franklin, Drew Allar, a loaded defense and two star running backs, only to finish with seven wins. Matt Campbell is a good coach and should do well there, but the safer approach is to start with caution.
Then there’s Iowa at No. 22, a ranking that feels optimistic for a team built in familiar Hawkeye fashion. The formula is what it usually is: defense, run game and very little expectation for a dangerous passing attack.
Kirk Ferentz also has a quarterback battle going between two inexperienced options. Maybe Iowa finds something through the air, but that’s not something the Hawkeyes have consistently done, and Mark Gronowski was only OK even as a transfer.
Iowa went 8-4 in 2025, but the bigger issue is the same one that keeps coming up with this program: until it shows real progress developing quarterbacks, it’s hard to buy it as a ranked team to open the season.
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