Tennessees Playoff Path Could Shift Far Beyond The Kentucky Game

Vols fans, take note: strategic wins this week could bolster Tennessees playoff hopes.

Saturday night already has Tennessee’s biggest test of the season on deck, but the Vols’ playoff path is being shaped all over the country, too.

No. 13 Tennessee is set to face No.

6 Kentucky in a game that could swing the entire conversation around the Vols. A win keeps UT alive in the playoff chase.

A loss could wipe out what’s left of those hopes. But while that one matters most, there are several other results around the country that would make life easier for Tennessee.

The cleanest help may come from Baton Rouge, where No. 14 LSU is taking on No.

5 Alabama. There’s a case for either side, but the better outcome for Tennessee is an LSU win.

That would give Alabama its third loss. If the Tide win instead, LSU would be the team taking that third loss.

The reason the Tigers win out here is simple: Tennessee still has LSU on the schedule in a couple of weeks, which means the Vols could deliver that third loss themselves. The idea is to let Alabama absorb the damage now and leave LSU for later.

There is a reasonable pushback, though. Tennessee already has a win over Alabama, and the Tide are sitting at No.

  1. A win for Alabama would strengthen Tennessee’s resume, while a loss might not even knock them out of the playoff picture.

Another result that would help Tennessee is No. 2 Georgia winning at No.

10 Ole Miss. The Rebels are part of that crowded group of two-loss SEC teams, while Georgia is one of the two teams in the field with just one loss.

Since the Bulldogs are on track for the SEC title game and the playoffs, it helps Tennessee more if Ole Miss picks up that crucial third loss and falls further behind.

The same logic applies to No. 7 Texas at No.

18 Missouri, even if this one is a little trickier. Both teams have two losses, and a third would be a major problem for either one.

Texas already beat Tennessee, but the Longhorns are also ranked higher because of it. From Tennessee’s perspective, knocking Missouri out of the mix and improving the Vols’ strength of schedule makes the most sense, especially with that early home loss looking better if Missouri keeps winning.

There’s also a game involving one of Tennessee’s own opponents: No. 21 South Carolina against Texas A&M.

Since both teams are still on the Vols’ schedule, either result has some value. But because Tennessee already lost in Columbia, a South Carolina win would make that loss look better and better.

If the Vols handle the rest of their business, it’s hard to see the Gamecocks catching them. If Tennessee stumbles again, South Carolina could move ahead, though at that point the playoff picture would already be hanging by a thread.

Out of conference, No. 1 Miami against No.

11 Notre Dame still matters for Tennessee’s at-large hopes. Notre Dame already has one loss to BYU, and another could be enough to end the Irish’s playoff hopes.

If Notre Dame wins, though, that would be a major boost to its résumé with a manageable schedule left. For Tennessee, the safer play is to let Miami stay at No. 1 and push Notre Dame out of the way.

There are also a few games that wouldn’t hurt Tennessee, even if they don’t directly swing the Vols’ path.

Minnesota beating No. 8 UCLA would hand the Bruins their first loss and damage their case in future seeding conversations.

West Virginia winning at No. 15 Texas Tech would add another loss to a team Tennessee is currently ahead of, so that would be fine for the Vols.

And No. 3 Utah beating No.

9 BYU would keep Utah undefeated and likely ahead of Tennessee anyway, while also potentially knocking BYU out. Utah also has a win over Arkansas, which would help the Razorbacks’ strength of schedule and, by extension, Tennessee’s.

A few other results would help the Vols’ strength of schedule directly: Vanderbilt winning at Mississippi State, Georgia Tech beating Louisville, and Kennesaw State beating Delaware.

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