BYUs Playoff Path Just Got A Lot More Uncomfortable

As unexpected losses shake the Top 25 rankings, this week's college football upsets cast doubt on several teams' playoff aspirations.

Week 8 didn’t just trim the edges of the national picture. It jolted it.

Several teams that were expected to handle business instead walked out of Saturday with losses that could linger far beyond one afternoon, and the ripple effects now reach deep into the AP race and the playoff conversation. BYU, Tennessee, Oregon, Texas Tech, Iowa and USC all took hits, some more damaging than others, and each one left with a different kind of problem.

BYU’s stumble at UCF stands out because of where the Cougars had just come from. Last week’s heartfelt win over Notre Dame had put them in a strong spot, but the trip across the country turned into a double-overtime loss to an unranked opponent.

Bear Bachmeier still finished with 3 total touchdowns, but the ending belonged to the missed fourth-down throw that fell incomplete late and sealed it. At 6-1, the Cougars still have room in the playoff race, but the margin is shrinking fast.

Tennessee’s 27-24 defeat at South Carolina may end up feeling just as expensive. The Volunteers entered the game ranked No. 11 with a 6-1 record and had a chance to strengthen their SEC position, but instead they were undone by a shaky start on the road and the kind of pressure that conference games bring every week. If they’re going to stay in the playoff hunt, the Vols need more from the passing game and far fewer mistakes the rest of the way.

Oregon’s fall looks even more severe. After being viewed as a national title favorite out of the Big Ten, the Ducks now sit at 4-3 after a 21-10 loss at Illinois and have dropped three games overall.

The offense never found rhythm, and the injuries have mattered - Dante Moore and several top receivers were out, leaving Oregon struggling to generate consistency. What once looked like a run toward the top now feels like a season spent trying to recover what’s left.

Texas Tech arrived at Cincinnati undefeated and favored by more than 10 points, but the Red Raiders left with a 37-24 loss that could hurt them in ways that stretch beyond the standings. Their resume already had a two-point win over Houston, and they won’t get a regular-season shot at either BYU or Utah.

That makes a bad loss even harder to absorb. The defense that had been the backbone of the team allowed 21 unanswered points, and its fifth-ranked run defense gave up its first rushing touchdown while surrendering 255 yards on the ground.

Iowa’s problems were less dramatic in score but just as familiar in tone. The Hawkeyes lost 13-10 at Minnesota in a tight Big Ten game that never tilted their way, and the offense once again couldn’t build any momentum away from home.

After the earlier loss to Ohio State, this one takes a real bite out of a team that had legitimate playoff hopes after beating Washington 41-24. The Big Ten race is tightening, and Iowa can’t afford many more days like this.

USC’s trip to Wisconsin was uglier still. The Trojans managed only 7 points and finished with minus-17 yards rushing, a stunning number for a team built around offense.

Jayden Maiava threw two first-quarter interceptions, and Wisconsin controlled enough of the game on the ground to keep the pressure on from start to finish. The longest play USC produced went for just 15 yards, and that said plenty.

Now at two losses in 2026, Lincoln Riley’s team heads home to face Ohio State with its playoff hopes hanging by a thread.

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