The Ravens are back home after their trip to Brazil, and the setup for Sunday afternoon is pretty straightforward: Baltimore is laying 11.5 points against a Tennessee team that has spent the first month of the season taking punch after punch.
The Titans come in at 0-3 after losses to the Jets, Eagles, and Giants. That stretch has included a 23-10 defeat, a 24-20 heartbreak, and a 12-7 loss last week. There’s not much margin for error in that kind of start, and there hasn’t been much relief in the box score either.
Baltimore, meanwhile, is 2-1 and coming off a wild 34-31 win after dropping a home game to the Saints in Week 2 as -8.5 favorites. Even with that stumble, the Ravens have looked like a much stronger team underneath the surface. They rank fourth in the NFL in Net Yards per Play at +1.6 and fourth in offensive EPA per play, and Lamar Jackson has gotten back to MVP form.
The line has stayed put since opening, with Baltimore still at -11.5 and the total holding at 43.5. That’s a sign the market has settled in on this matchup, and the number still points to a wide gap between the teams.
These two also met in 2023, when the Ravens beat the Titans 24-16.
SI Betting’s Iain MacMillan isn’t looking to get involved with Tennessee here. He wrote that after Week 1 he was done betting on the Titans, then went back on that and lost when Cam Ward threw “a baffling last-second interception” in the Giants game. On Baltimore, he sees a team that has been unlucky in spots but still owns the profile of a contender.
“I want know part of betting on the Titans and hoping they can cover this number against Baltimore.”
He also expects the Ravens to handle business at home.
“I also expect the Ravens to roll in this one. They may have been lucky to get the win last week, but it all counts the same in the standings, and now they’re back at home against an easy opponent.”
MacMillan pointed to Baltimore’s underwhelming home opener against the Saints as something he doesn’t expect to repeat, and he believes Derrick Henry will keep his strong start going as the Ravens take care of the Titans.
The call here is Baltimore by a comfortable margin, with the Ravens looking set up to cover the big number.
In Other News...
Titans Suddenly Have A Lineup Problem They Can't Afford In Baltimore
The Titans head into their Week 4 trip to Baltimore with more uncertainty than they probably wanted this early in the season, as injuries have put parts of the lineup in flux. Tyjae Spears and Garrett Dellinger are among the players listed as questionable, and Robert Saleh has already acknowledged that availability is still very much up in the air as the week moves on.
For a Tennessee team trying to stabilize its rotation and settle on the best mix up front, the timing is not ideal. Baltimore has a way of exposing any soft spots, so the Titans may have to adjust their starting group if the injury report breaks the wrong way, and the last thing they can afford is another last-minute scramble before kickoff. [Read more 🡒]
Titans Walk Into Baltimore Facing A Derrick Henry Problem Again
Baltimore brings the old problem right back onto Tennessees schedule, with Derrick Henry set to face the Titans after moving on from the franchise following the 2023 season. Since joining the Ravens, Henry has been piling up the kind of rushing production that once made him the centerpiece of the Titans offense, and now Tennessee has to deal with him from the other sideline.
For Robert Salehs group, the challenge is familiar even if the uniform is different: find a way to slow a runner who still forces defenses to commit extra attention while Tennessee keeps pushing forward with Cam Wards development. The Titans task gets tougher up front, too, with two injured offensive linemen now on injured reserve, leaving less margin for error in a matchup already shaped by one of the leagues most familiar headaches. [Read more 🡒]
Titans Keep Finding Painful New Ways To Waste Their Chances
The Titans are already in a familiar and uncomfortable place after four weeks, and the latest loss to Baltimore only added to the growing list of small failures that have turned into big problems. Tennessee had chances to keep itself in the game, but the afternoon kept tilting the wrong way, from special teams mistakes to a late interception that undercut any hope of a rally. Former Titan Derrick Henry also found the end zone, another painful reminder that even the good moments have a way of slipping out of reach.
What makes the slide harder to watch is how many different phases have taken turns letting Tennessee down. The offense faded badly in the second half, while Brian Dabolls decisions were part of the broader conversation around how the game unraveled. Even Carnell Tate, who turned in a notable performance, was part of the story in a way the Titans could not afford after a costly fumble, and the result left them still searching for their first win. [Read more 🡒]