TCU enters the season with a real chance to flip the script.
For the last few years, the Horned Frogs have spent the preseason stuck in that awkward middle ground - enough talent to draw attention, enough uncertainty to keep the optimism in check. This offseason feels different, though. The questions are still there, but so is the sense that TCU could finally be ready to answer them.
The schedule gives the Frogs a path to build momentum early. If they open with a win over North Carolina in Ireland, a 3-0 start suddenly looks very possible.
The stretch after that is not easy, with road games at UCF and a home matchup with BYU in Fort Worth, but once those are out of the way, the schedule softens before a road trip to Arizona. That opens the door for TCU to be near the top of the Big 12 standings by the middle of October and still be in position to control its own fate in the race for the Big 12 Championship game late in the year.
A big part of that optimism starts on offense, where Sonny Dykes has already produced breakout names like Max Duggan, Eric MacCalister, and Savion Williams. This season, Jeremy Payne could be next.
He was supposed to make that leap last year, and while it didn’t fully happen, he still put together a useful season with 623 rushing yards on 110 carries and 207 receiving yards on 22 catches. His biggest moment came in the Alamo Bowl against the University of Southern California, when he scored the game-winning touchdown on a 3rd-and-20.
Payne gives TCU a lot to work with. He can hurt defenses as both a runner and a receiver, and his speed makes him dangerous whenever he gets space. If the new offensive coordinator Gordon Sammis and Dykes lean more heavily on the run, Payne could get even more chances to break games open.
If Payne doesn’t become the main attraction, the Frogs still have other options at receiver. Jordan Dwyer is projected as the WR1 and brings a veteran presence that could matter a lot if he and quarterback Jaden Craig click quickly.
Jeremy Scott, a transfer from South Alabama, might be the most explosive of the bunch. He averaged more than 17 yards per catch as a freshman, and if that vertical threat carries over to Amon G.
Carter Stadium, TCU’s offense could become one of the most entertaining units in the league.
The defense does not need to reinvent itself for TCU to take a step. It just needs to keep doing what it did last season, and maybe add a little more.
Safety Jamel Johnson is the centerpiece there after a huge year with 96 tackles and 5 interceptions. He has a chance to keep stacking standout seasons and could end up among the best players in program history.
The secondary should also have more to work with, with cornerbacks Kalen Carroll, Vernon Glover Jr., and transfer Jacob Fields forming a major part of Andy Avalos’s group.
The next step for that defense comes up front. If the pass rush can create more pressure without the staff having to lean so hard on blitzes, the back end should be in better shape to force turnovers.
For TCU’s defense, the big keys are simple: improve the pass rush win rate and cut down on explosive plays. If there isn’t one clear star in the front, the unit will have to win through cohesion, with the front four helping the back seven stay out of trouble.
That matters because the Big 12 looks crowded at the top. The conference has at least five teams that can make a legitimate case to contend, and TCU believes it belongs in that group.
The BYU game could be an early turning point, the kind of matchup that shifts the conversation from fringe contender to top 25 team. And if everything lines up, the Thanksgiving game against Texas Tech could become the biggest regular-season game TCU has had in years.
The Horned Frogs have had their share of big wins before - Oklahoma in 2014, Texas Tech in 2015, and Texas in 2022 all stand out - and this season has the chance to add another one to that list. No one is handing TCU anything in 2027, but the pieces are there for a major jump. If the returning talent develops and the schedule breaks the right way, this could be Sonny Dykes’ best shot since the 2022 College Football Playoff run.
In Other News...
Why Luke Bamgboye Could Decide TCUs Next Step Forward
TCUs offseason reshaping has left the roster with a clearer offensive core than it had a year ago, but the biggest question still sits near the rim. The Horned Frogs return Xavier Edmonds, Brock Harding and Micah Robinson from last seasons top five scorers, even after David Punch left for Texas, and they brought in a batch of transfers to help fill the gaps. Among them, Luke Bamgboye stands out as the piece most tied to how far this group can climb.
At 6-foot-10, Bamgboye is expected to give TCU the defensive presence it lacked in the middle, with the kind of shot-blocking and paint protection that can change how a team plays on both ends. The Frogs did not have a clear answer penciled in at the 5, so his role figures to be central from the start, likely sharing duties around the basket with Ryan Hunt. If Bamgboye settles in quickly, TCUs next step forward could be built as much on what he stops as on what the returning scorers create. [Read more 🡒]