College football’s next big fight is getting bigger by the day, and the Big 12 is right in the middle of it. The sport’s power brokers are weighing a jump from a 12-team College Football Playoff to 24 teams during a new 30-day negotiation window with ESPN, a move that would reshape the postseason and nearly erase the bowl system as it exists now.
For Brett Yormark and the Big 12, that kind of expansion has long been the dream. A bigger field would give the league a much wider path into the bracket, potentially putting multiple teams in the playoff conversation instead of the one-or-two-program ceiling it has lived with before. In the new setup, teams with 10 wins, nine wins, or even eight wins could find themselves in the mix if the committee deems them worthy.
But the tradeoff is obvious: what used to be bowl season would turn into a stretch of first- and second-round playoff games running through much of December. The season would stretch longer, too, with the final four teams potentially playing 17 or 18 games. That raises the real question hanging over the whole idea - whether the payoff is worth the cost.
The Big 12’s playoff record doesn’t exactly scream dominance. The league is 1-8 in CFP history, with TCU accounting for the lone victory in 2022. Arizona State, Texas Tech, and former members Texas and Oklahoma all came up short of the field, and TCU’s run ended in a 65-7 loss to Georgia in the 2022 national championship game.
That history matters because a 24-team format would likely force Big 12 schools to spend even more just to keep up. If the league suddenly has three or even five realistic postseason contenders in a strong year, the financial pressure rises right along with the opportunity. More access sounds great on paper, but it comes with a steeper price tag for the average member.
There’s also the way an expanded playoff changes the regular season itself. One of the Big 12’s biggest selling points has been the chaos created by Texas and Oklahoma leaving the league, but a larger playoff would take some of the sting out of those midseason losses. Upsets would still matter, but they wouldn’t carry the same knockout punch.
At the same time, more teams would stay alive deeper into the year. A couple of losses wouldn’t automatically bury a program in the committee’s eyes, and that keeps more fan bases engaged. Still, it changes the feel of games that used to be loaded with urgency, including matchups like Arizona-BYU and Texas Tech-Houston, which drew more than a combined 6 million viewers early in the Big 12 season.
Not everyone is buying the expansion pitch. Josh Pate has been one of the loudest voices pushing back, calling a 24-team playoff a “bailout” for Power Four leadership.
CFB "leaders" are some of the biggest failures in the world…a 24-team CFP is the bailout they hope people are dumb enough to buy pic.twitter.com/Wz6dQ8LQOB
- Josh Pate (@JoshPateCFB) October 2, 2026
His argument lands because the same people promising tougher scheduling would still be the ones controlling seeding and selection. And with Power Four schools already pouring millions into their football programs, the idea that everyone will suddenly schedule more aggressively because the path to the playoff gets wider feels shaky at best.
What the CFP leaders do seem to want is accessibility, and plenty of it. They see a bigger postseason as a possible money machine, something that could grow like March Madness while riding college football’s place as the top sport on American television.
So the Big 12 may gain more chances to get in. It may also gain more costs, more strain, and a regular season that means a little less. Either way, one thing is clear: a 24-team playoff would not make the sport any cheaper.
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For the Horned Frogs, it is a useful measuring stick against a top-10 opponent in a conference slate that also features West Virginia at Iowa State and Baylor at Arizona State. The betting lines and the broader preview angle all point to the same question: can TCU turn a marquee home date into something more meaningful as the Big 12 standings begin to take shape? [Read more 🡒]