Five Years Later Rays Fans May Hate This Draft Reality

As the clock ticks towards the 2026 MLB draft, the Tampa Bay Rays reflect on their 2021 picks, revealing a mixed bag of achievements and missed opportunities.

Five years is usually enough time to sort a draft class into clear tiers. By then, the names at the top should be pushing through to the majors, while the rest are either trending up, stalling out, or finding a new path somewhere else. That makes the Rays’ 2021 draft a pretty useful snapshot as the 2026 MLB draft nears.

Tampa Bay entered that draft with the 28th overall pick after finishing the abbreviated 2020 season with one of baseball’s best records and reaching the second pennant in franchise history. The Rays also picked again at No. 34 thanks to a supplemental selection, and when the dust settled they had taken 21 players and signed every one of them.

The headliner was high school shortstop Carson Williams, the club’s first pick at No. 28.

“Williams can really, really defend, boasting one of the best arms in the class, and he can definitely stay at shortstop. There is offensive upside with some bat speed and loft in his swing, and he should grow into some more power. The Rays are among the best at developing young hitters, so Williams may have found the perfect home”

  • Jonathan Mayo, MLB Pipeline

Williams has been the class of the group ever since. He climbed as high as No. 7 overall on prospect lists entering the 2024 season, but consistent contact has been the problem against advanced pitching.

In 44 career games, he has hit .155/.204/.302 with a 39.6 K% and has produced -0.8 fWAR. Even with those early struggles, his glove and offensive upside still give him a path to a big league future.

After Williams, only three other players from that draft class have reached the majors: Kyle Manzardo, Mason Montgomery, and Bob Seymour.

None of those three are still with Tampa Bay.

Manzardo was traded in 2023. Seymour was designated for assignment and released after the 2025 season. Montgomery, who spent the most time on the Rays’ active roster and at times looked like he could become a high-leverage reliever, was sent to the Pittsburgh Pirates this past offseason.

Of that trio, Manzardo has been the most productive overall, if only by default. The 25-year-old first baseman made his big league debut in 2024 and hit 27 home runs in 2025.

Still, his overall offensive line has been modest for a first baseman: .219/.311/.371 with a 105 wRC+ and 1.2 fWAR. He’s now Cleveland’s starting first baseman.

Tampa Bay moved him to the Guardians for Aaron Civale as it pushed for the postseason, a deal that made sense given the playing-time squeeze created by Jonathan Aranda at first base and Xavier Isaac’s rise in the lower minors.

Mason Auer once looked like a potential steal, a true five-tool player working his way through the lower levels. But he struggled badly against Double-A pitching, changed positions, and eventually tried his hand at pitching. That path never got him beyond Single-A, and he was released last month.

Given where the Rays were picking, there was only so much blue-chip talent available after Williams. One player taken later in the first round has become an everyday big leaguer: Joe Mack, who went 31st overall to the Miami Marlins. Ty Madden and Tyler Black followed at Nos. 32 and 33.

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