Chandler Simpson spent part of May and June looking like a player who had hit a wall.
The speed that made him so electric had suddenly gone quiet, and the questions came fast: had opposing clubs cracked the code, was his lack of power starting to matter, and had the all-speed, no-frills style finally met its match? Simpson answered those doubts with a stretch that reminded everyone why he’s such a unique player.
Both Fangraphs and Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times dug into the strange disappearance of his running game during those months. The explanations were layered.
Simpson’s on-base numbers had dipped, Tampa Bay’s offense as a whole was slumping, and there simply weren’t as many chances to run. But Kevin Cash offered what may have been the clearest reason to Topkin.
“Every team we see, they were mindful. Now, they’re that much more mindful. We’re seeing pitchers alter their deliveries.”
That’s the reality of life in the majors. Once a player becomes a problem, teams start changing the way they attack him. In Simpson’s case, that meant quicker times to the plate, more slide steps and more pitchouts, all of it making the game far less open for him to do what he does best.
For a player built around disruption, it was a rough patch. The reaction around him was louder than the slump itself, because Simpson’s game sits right on the edge of what baseball allows. His style has always invited debate, and the downturn only fueled the argument from fans who think small ball no longer has a place.
Then he started looking like himself again.
In August, Simpson has struck out only 4 times, and his season-long contact rate is still north of 90 percent. Statcast puts his expected batting average for the month at .260, but his actual .390 average shows how much havoc he can create once the ball is in play.
He also fits neatly into the identity of a Rays team that does one thing better than almost anyone else: put the ball in play. Tampa Bay strikes out the least and has the highest batting average in baseball. Simpson, meanwhile, owns the lowest strikeout percentage in the AL and is right behind Yordan Alvarez for the highest batting average.
The bigger lesson is the one teams learn over and over with young players: development takes time. Tampa Bay could have walked away when Simpson went 28 games without a stolen base and sent him down. Instead, they stayed patient, leaned on the work ethic that had already stood out, and watched him come out the other side with major defensive improvement to show for it.
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Even so, the path is not clear yet. Public funding cannot move forward until the bond validation is completed and a community benefits agreement is finalized, and legal challenges are expected along the way. Those hurdles do not stop the project from advancing for now, but they do mean the next phase will likely be measured as much in courtrooms and paperwork as in dirt and concrete. [Read more 🡒]