The chatter around Todd Bowles is getting louder, and it comes with a pretty simple backdrop: the Buccaneers are 0-4, Baker Mayfield is hurt, and Thursday night brings a trip to Dallas against a Cowboys team that has looked far sharper through four weeks.
A Monday report raised the possibility that Tampa Bay ownership could move on from Bowles if the Buccaneers take an ugly loss to the 2-2 Cowboys. Later that day, Sports Illustrated’s Conor Orr laid out why the talk has picked up steam since last season.
Bowles’ defense is at the center of the concern. Orr pointed to the team’s losing stretches and the way the unit finished last year and opened this one.
"Bowles has had at least a three-game losing streak in every season on the job (starting in 2022) and four-game losing streaks in each of his past three seasons on the job," Orr wrote. "There are a few examples of headlining clock mismanagement over the years, but perhaps the most damning indictment is that Bowles' defense from Weeks 12 to 18 last season was among the 10 worst in the NFL in (expected points added) per play surrendered and is dead last through the first month of this season."
The results since Week 10 of the 2025 campaign have been even harder to ignore. Tampa Bay is 2-11 under Bowles in that span.
The quarterback situation only makes Thursday night look more daunting for the Buccaneers. Mayfield is out with a dislocated thumb, and undrafted rookie Jalon Daniels is set to start against Dallas.
The numbers on both offenses lean heavily toward the Cowboys. ESPN stats show Dallas averaging 30.5 points per game, which is tied for second in the NFL after four weeks. Tampa Bay is tied for 24th at 19.0 points per game.
That’s part of why the line is so lopsided. DraftKings Sportsbook listed the Buccaneers as 9.5-point road underdogs Tuesday morning.
Still, Orr noted that Tampa Bay is not necessarily a job with limited appeal if the team does decide to make a change.
"The Tampa Bay job is a good one that - I imagine - would draw top candidates," Orr added. "Like with any (Buccaneers general manager) Jason Licht team, there are pieces.
The NFC South is a winnable division, and there is at least a serviceable quarterback in place, though Tampa, with more than a few heavy hitters remaining on its schedule, could also be in a position to add some competition to the roster. The Buccaneers rarely part ways with a head coach before a thorough evaluation.
Since Jon Gruden was fired in January 2009, only the Greg Schiano and Lovie Smith eras lasted fewer than three seasons."
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Todd Bowles Heat Is Rising But Bucs History Says Plenty Too
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