The NFC South has seen its share of shake-ups, and 2025 was no different. Once dominated by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, the division took a surprising turn when the Carolina Panthers clinched the title with an 8-9 record. As we move through the offseason, predicting a clear favorite for 2026 is no easy task.
All four teams seem poised to finish within a tight range of 7 to 10 wins, hinting at another nail-biting finish where tiebreakers could play a crucial role. However, one team appears to be trending upward more than the rest. Let's break down the NFC South power rankings following the main wave of NFL Free Agency.
Updated NFC South Rankings After NFL Free Agency
4. Atlanta Falcons
The Atlanta Falcons currently face the most uncertain quarterback situation in the division. They've brought in Tua Tagovailoa, while Michael Penix Jr. is on the mend from a 2025 knee injury. Both left-handed quarterbacks have potential, but the Falcons might be banking on Penix making a strong comeback, dominating in the offseason, and establishing himself as a franchise cornerstone.
If Penix fulfills this potential, Atlanta could make a serious run for the division title. However, this quarterback conundrum is a significant hurdle they need to overcome.
3. Carolina Panthers
Despite winning the division last year, the Carolina Panthers face skepticism. They may have bolstered their roster with the likes of Jaelan Phillips and Devin Lloyd, but the spotlight remains on Bryce Young. In 2025, Young delivered a mixed bag of performances, showing glimpses of his best football yet remaining largely inconsistent.
The Panthers' fate in 2026 hinges on Young's ability to elevate his game beyond what we saw last season.
2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Buccaneers are navigating another year with a new offensive coordinator, and the departure of veteran wide receiver Mike Evans adds to their challenges. Despite an offseason filled with uncertainties, they boast the division's top passer and a history of success in recent years.
Frequent coaching changes on offense could disrupt their rhythm, making it tough to find stability. Tampa Bay seems set to hover around an 8-10 win mark once again.
1. New Orleans Saints
The New Orleans Saints are building something special and currently stand as the team to beat in the NFC South. Rookie quarterback Tyler Shough impressed with his performance late last season, and the defense showed marked improvement.
With the additions of Travis Etienne and David Edwards, both top-10 talents at their positions, the Saints have rounded out their offense. Coupled with a solid defense, New Orleans looks poised to lead the pack in 2026.