Baker Mayfield has never been shy about a challenge, and he’s staring at another one now in Tampa Bay.
After a messy stretch that left plenty of people down on the Buccaneers, Mayfield isn’t buying the gloom. He said Tuesday after practice that he believes the team is about to make some noise in 2026.
"I think we're going to shock a lot of people this year," Mayfield said Tuesday after practice. "I'm excited to just get on the road and do that."
That kind of defiance has followed Mayfield for years. He went from being an underrecruited high school prospect to the first FBS walk-on true freshman quarterback to start a season opener at Texas Tech.
At Oklahoma, he became the only former walk-on to ever win the Heisman Trophy. And after plenty of doubts about his style and physical traits, he still went No. 1 overall in the 2018 draft and has since become a two-time Pro Bowler.
So when the Buccaneers are being written off, Mayfield’s not exactly the type to fold with the crowd.
"You can't avoid it," Mayfield said of the negative discourse. "There's TVs everywhere."
The skepticism around Tampa Bay has plenty of fuel behind it. Since the Week 9 bye last season, the Buccaneers went 2-7 and dropped three- and four-game losing streaks along the way.
The offense slipped into something too schematic and too predictable, and the defense couldn’t do enough to cover for it. What looked like a postseason team faded badly down the stretch in a division where no team finished above .500.
Then came the personnel hits. The offense now has Zac Robinson as its fourth different play-caller for Mayfield in four years in Tampa Bay. Franchise icons Lavonte David and Mike Evans are both gone, with David retired and Evans leaving in free agency.
And there’s more tension still hanging over the roster. Mayfield’s own contract situation remains unresolved, and defensive tackle Vita Vea is in a standoff with the front office after requesting a trade at the start of training camp. Vea has not practiced while he holds in as he looks for either an extension or a move elsewhere.
Still, Mayfield says he likes the idea of being the team everyone else is comfortable dismissing.
"Hell yeah, I am," Mayfield said. "Everybody's picking us probably to have a losing record. We'll see."
The quarterback’s own 2025 season gives him something to prove, too. After strong first two years in Tampa Bay, including his first two Pro Bowl nods and a third-place finish in Comeback Player of the Year voting, he posted his weakest numbers with the Buccaneers last season. His completion rate, passing yards and touchdown totals all dropped to their lowest point in Tampa Bay.
Baker Mayfield by year in Tampa Bay
Year Comp. % Pass Yds TD INT Pass Rtg
2023
64.3
4,044
28
10
94.6
2024
71.4
4,500
41
16
106.8
2025
63.2
3,693
26
11
90.6
There’s also the contract angle, and it’s not a small one. This is the final year of Mayfield’s deal, and the sides didn’t get an extension done before training camp. He wanted the contract settled before camp opened and said he would not negotiate during the season, leaving him set to play out the year without any long-term security.
Mayfield wants to join the $50 million-per-year club, and he said the team’s offers were "pretty far" from that level. Since camp began, he’s been open about how he feels, saying he feels "disrespected" and that Tampa Bay is undervaluing him as a franchise quarterback.
That’s a lot of friction. But if there’s one thing Mayfield has built a career on, it’s using doubt as fuel. And with the Buccaneers carrying their own share of baggage, he has plenty of it to work with heading into 2026.
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