Syracuse Faces One Big March Madness Test Under Gerry McNamara

With a new head coach at the helm, Syracuse aims to break its tournament drought and reignite its storied basketball legacy.

Syracuse basketball is staring at a familiar question: can the Orange get back to March Madness after five straight seasons on the outside looking in?

That drought stands in sharp contrast to a stretch not all that long ago when Syracuse was a top-four seed in six straight NCAA Tournaments. The program moved on from Adrian Autry this past March and made its next bet on another familiar name, hiring Gerry McNamara after he guided Siena to the NCAA Tournament and came close to toppling No. 1-seeded Duke in the Round of 64.

The early returns, though, have not exactly screamed instant revival. Syracuse got beat 72-52 by UConn in its first exhibition, then had to grind to get past Siena, the team McNamara coached just last season. That leaves the Orange in a spot where optimism is present, but only in measured doses.

The market has noticed. The ACC media preseason poll placed Syracuse 11th in the 18-team league earlier this month, and KenPom opened the Orange at No. 80 in Division I. DraftKings lists Syracuse at +14000 to win the ACC regular season title, while BetMGM has the Orange at +25000 to win the national championship.

Those numbers make one thing clear: nobody is projecting Syracuse to crash the title picture right away. But there is at least a lane for the Orange to take a meaningful step forward in 2026-27.

This season, the real question is whether McNamara can turn a roster packed with new pieces into an offense that actually works. Gavin Doty and Aiden Tobiason have already shown they can score in college. Kiyan Anthony should have a bigger role after averaging eight points as a freshman, and Sadiq White brings athleticism at forward with plenty of room to grow.

The more intriguing reason for optimism may be on the other end. KenPom projects Syracuse 59th nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency, which would be a significant jump from where the Orange finished a year ago. Garwey Dual’s presence on the perimeter and Luke Wilson’s rim protection point to a team that should be longer and more physical than last season’s group.

Syracuse also has chances to collect résumé-building wins. The schedule includes Nov. 9 against Indiana, Nov. 15 at St. John’s, Dec. 1 at Oklahoma, Dec. 19 against Providence, Jan. 5 against Duke, Jan. 9 at Miami, Jan. 16 against Louisville and Feb. 3 against Virginia.

That home slate matters. Three of the ACC’s preseason top four teams - Duke, Louisville and Virginia - are set to visit the Dome, giving Syracuse a real chance to snag a few big home wins.

Still, expectations have to stay grounded. Syracuse lost its top five scorers from a team that was already underwhelming, and the +25000 national title odds reflect just how steep the climb would be from here.

The more realistic target is simply getting back to the NCAA Tournament. McNamara inherited a roster that needed a jolt, then rebuilt it with experienced guards, size and better defensive pieces.

The Orange do not need to become a powerhouse overnight. They need discipline on defense, enough scoring from Doty and Tobiason, and a sophomore leap from Anthony.

If that comes together, Syracuse can at least get back into the March Madness conversation. And after five years away from the bracket, that would count as real progress.

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