Ivan Herrera's Cardinals Future Suddenly Looks Far Less Certain

As Ivan Herrera's numbers decline and new talent emerges, the St. Louis Cardinals face tough decisions about his place on the team moving forward.

Ivan Herrera entered the 2026 season looking like part of the Cardinals’ core. He was coming off a big year - a 137 wRC+ with 19 home runs and 66 RBIs - and, at 26, he was working back to health with the idea that he could take on a more regular catching role.

Six months later, the picture looks a lot different.

Herrera’s production has slid hard this season. He’s sitting on a .242/.355/.374 slash line, all of them down from where he was after becoming a full-time player in 2024. His walk rate has ticked up, but the overall bat has gone the wrong way, and his batting average has fallen 60 points from its 2024 peak.

The health part, at least, has held up. Herrera has caught in 51 games and appeared in all but a few of the Cardinals’ games this season.

But staying on the field hasn’t translated into the kind of impact the Cardinals were expecting. He’s at just 1.3 fWAR, well below his career-best 2.7 fWAR from last year.

That gap is why his long-term fit in St. Louis is now a real question.

Leonardo Bernal has pushed the issue. The rookie debuted in September and hasn’t slowed down since, hitting .317/.358/.508 with three homers and 15 RBIs in only 16 games. He also set a record last week for the most RBIs by a rookie in his first 10 games, and he’s already joined several other Cardinals greats in the early stretch of his big-league career.

Bernal has already caught 14 games this year, and he looks like the likely starting catcher for the Cardinals heading into 2027.

That development, combined with Herrera’s regression on both sides of the ball this season, has left Herrera’s future role unsettled.

For now, Herrera appears headed back into the primary DH spot next year, with some catching mixed in. But even that space may not stay open for long. The Cardinals have a wave of young power bats moving quickly through the system, especially Rainiel Rodriguez and Jesus Baez, both of whom are at Double-A Springfield.

Rodriguez put up a .328/.408/.591 line with 23 home runs and a 151 wRC+ in Double-A. He also had one of the best months of September by any prospect in MiLB and was named the Cardinals minor-league player of the month.

Baez finished his time with Springfield at .316/.354/.679 with 25 home runs, and he finished the year with 41 total homers including the postseason. Both players are on a fast track to the majors by this time next year. Baez is likely to land at shortstop or third base, while Rodriguez could get a look as the club’s DH in late 2027.

First base is another possible path for Herrera, but Alec Burleson is already there and has the spot locked down for now.

So while Herrera still looks penciled in for 2027, the long view has changed fast. The Cardinals once seemed to view him as a fixture. Now, with Bernal rising and more young hitters closing in, Herrera may be fighting just to hold onto a regular role.

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