Cardinals Still Have A Draft Pick Path Riding On Two Rookies

As the St. Louis Cardinals focus on cultivating top prospects, Joshua Baez and Leo Bernal hold promise for Rookie of the Year consideration and potential draft rewards.

The Cardinals may not have reached the postseason for the fourth straight year, but they did leave 2026 with something they haven’t had in a while: a real sense that the future is starting to show up in St. Louis.

That optimism is tied to the way the club handled its top prospects. Chaim Bloom still hasn’t put a timetable on the rebuild, but the Cardinals were noticeably more willing this season to push young talent into the majors.

JJ Wetherholt, Joshua Baez, Quinn Mathews, Cooper Hjerpe and Leo Bernal all reached St. Louis in 2026, a shift from the more cautious approach the organization has taken in the past.

Wetherholt looked like the team’s best path to a Prospect Promotion Incentive bonus, sitting as the Rookie of the Year frontrunner before a wrist injury knocked him off course in the second half. Had he held on and won the award, the Cardinals would have picked up an extra draft selection.

That did not happen this year, but the door is still open for 2027. Baez and Bernal both remain rookie-eligible, which gives St. Louis two more shots at a PPI reward next season.

According to Matt Eddy, both players are among the 2026 MLB debuts who kept rookie status for 2027 because they did not go beyond 45 days of active service. That keeps them in play for the 2027 Prospect Handbook and, if the system survives into the next CBA, another crack at PPI eligibility.

For a player to qualify, he has to appear on at least two of the three major top-100 lists from MLB Pipeline, Baseball America and/or ESPN. From there, he has to spend most of the season in the majors and either win Rookie of the Year in his first year or finish in the top three in MVP or Cy Young voting before reaching arbitration.

The Cardinals can only cash in once per season, and once one player earns the organization a pick, that player is no longer eligible for PPI. There is also the requirement that the player stays with his original organization, something that should not be a problem for St. Louis.

If the PPI is still around in the next CBA, the Cardinals are set up as well as anyone to take advantage in 2027. Wetherholt, Baez and Bernal all look like everyday pieces in spots where they can make an impact in a lineup that has room for them to thrive.

Bernal, the switch-hitting catcher, made a strong impression after his September debut and looks like the leading candidate to start behind the plate next season. If he keeps driving the ball and handles the defensive side well, he’ll be right in the mix for Rookie of the Year.

Baez brings a different kind of threat. The projected everyday left fielder announced himself with a three-homer debut that was historic, even if the high strikeout totals came along with it.

The power was real, though, and it was the kind of thump the Cardinals had been missing for much of the season. His year ended with an oblique strain, but the team had already been managing his at-bats to preserve rookie eligibility.

And even if he were to go past the rookie playing-time threshold, he could still help St. Louis land a pick by finishing in the top three in MVP voting.

Mathews and Hjerpe also debuted this season and will keep their rookie status, but they are not in position to bring the Cardinals an extra award-based pick just yet. Mathews could move into that conversation if he breaks onto top-100 lists before the preseason, after once appearing on all three before slipping off because of command issues.

In Other News...

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Cardinals Suddenly Have A Real Third Base Question To Watch

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For St. Louis, the timing matters because third base remains one of the clearer long-term questions on the roster. Baez, who piled up 39 home runs and stayed hot in the playoffs with a 1.156 OPS, is starting to look like a legitimate candidate to eventually answer it. The Cardinals are not there yet, but performances like this are the kind that can change how an internal battle looks a year from now. [Read more 🡒]