Mariners Suddenly Face A Pitching Problem They Cant Ignore

With continued struggles on the mound and missed opportunities at the plate, the Mariners face mounting challenges despite their favorable upcoming schedule.

The Mariners got buried early again Thursday and never fully dug out, falling 7-4 to the Brewers after another rough start from George Kirby.

Milwaukee wasted no time turning the game into a mess. In the first inning, the Brewers sent 10 hitters to the plate and pushed across six runs on a sequence that went single, walk, double, single, single, double, double.

Kirby didn’t stabilize after that. He lasted through a one-out single in the fourth before his night ended with Seattle trailing 6-0.

His 99.3 mph average exit velocity allowed was tied for the fifth highest by a starting pitcher in 2026.

Kirby’s season has been hard to pin down, and it’s only gotten harder. The walks that appeared last year are still showing up, but the strikeouts have faded.

Early in 2026 he was getting ground balls in bunches, which helped cover for the drop in whiffs, but that has vanished too. The pitch mix doesn’t look meaningfully different.

The “stuff” models still see the same zip. Right now, though, he’s not getting hitters to miss with two strikes, and when he throws strikes, they’re getting hit hard.

When he misses off the plate, hitters aren’t chasing enough to bail him out.

That kind of problem has been showing up all over the Mariners’ pitching staff. The offense and The Dan Wilson Conspiracy have soaked up plenty of attention during a disappointing season, but the bigger issue over the last two months has been the arms.

Seattle is dead last in the majors in fWAR since the All-Star break and is on pace to finish below average for the second straight year. It raises the question of whether pitching is still the calling card here at all.

After Kirby was chased, the bullpen at least kept the night from becoming another 22-0 disaster like Tuesday. José Ferrer handled the rest of the fourth and got out of the jam.

Michael Rucker then turned in another excellent outing, covering 2 2/3 scoreless innings with four strikeouts and no hits allowed. He produced whiffs on six of 15 swings and got chase on seven of 17 pitches out of the zone.

Rucker’s finish to the game against Garrett Mitchell stood out. He opened with a cutter that was called a strike, then wasted a curveball before firing 97 mph up top for a swinging miss.

He finished Mitchell with another curveball below the zone. The separation between those two pitches is obvious, with the fastball and curveball nearly 15 mph apart.

Hitters can’t sit on one and adjust to the other. On Thursday, they guessed wrong.

That’s part of why Rucker has been a bright spot even if he’s been dragged into the ongoing frustration around Dan Wilson. His FIP- is down to 81, which is second best on the active roster behind Muñoz at 72 and ahead of Eduard Bazardo at 96.

Since Rucker joined the team on June 12, the Mariners bullpen has been one of the five worst in the majors, so Wilson has had reasons to lean on him. Rucker has mostly done his job.

With the bullpen taxed from the previous night because Logan Gilbert couldn’t get through more than five innings, Wilson had to turn to Jhonathan Díaz in the eighth with Seattle down 6-4. Díaz surrendered a home run that stretched the deficit to 7-4 and made the comeback even more of a long shot.

Seattle’s offense wasn’t a total nonfactor. The Mariners drew six walks and had six hits, along with several balls hit hard.

They scored two runs in the second and two more in the fourth, enough to make the game feel alive for stretches even if it never truly was. Taylor Ward’s first and second walks in a Mariners uniform were among the notable details; he arrived at the deadline with a reputation as a walks machine, then went his first nine games in Seattle without one.

Still, the bats lacked the punch needed to catch up, and the sequencing never cooperated. With two outs in the ninth, Julio lined a 111-mph shot to center field, but Garrett Mitchell tracked it down to end it 7-4.

Seattle finished its long road trip at 4-5, with a few strong wins mixed in with some of the ugliest losses the franchise has seen. The Cubs come next weekend, followed by the Phillies early next week.

The Mariners then move into a homestand with the easiest remaining strength of schedule. The season may feel over, but the games keep coming - and the Mariners keep carrying a team that can’t seem to hit, pitch, field, or run the bases.

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