Mariners Free Agency Plan Looks More Limited Than Fans Hoped

With high aspirations and strict budgets, the Mariners' front office prepares to navigate the free-agent market with targeted precision in pursuit of a championship roster.

The Mariners may be positioned as a World Series contender, but that doesn’t automatically mean they’re about to dive into the deep end of free agency. The front office’s track record says otherwise.

Under the John Stanton-Jerry Dipoto regime, Seattle has only twice gone big on the open market in the last decade: Robbie Ray for five years, $115 million in 2021 and Josh Naylor for five years, $92.5 million last year. Most of the time, Dipoto has stuck to shorter deals and more manageable money.

That’s why Adam Jude of The Seattle Times matters here. His reporting points to a winter where the Mariners may not be comfortable with the kind of deal that runs four-plus years and climbs to around or beyond $100 million. If that’s the lane, then names like Randy Arozarena, Seiya Suzuki, Teruaki Sato and Adrian Morejon feel more like wish-list material than realistic targets.

Still, Seattle doesn’t sound like a team that plans to sit on its hands. Dipoto has already described relief pitching as “pretty appealing,” and Jude reported that the club is also “in the market for a veteran infielder who can play either third base or shortstop.” With that in mind, MLB Trade Rumors’ projections give a decent guide to the kind of free agents who could actually fit the Mariners’ comfort zone.

In the bullpen, Jonathan Loáisiga looks like a clean match on paper. MLB Trade Rumors projects him at two years and $13 million.

He made 67 appearances for the Arizona Diamondbacks and posted a 2.42 ERA, even if the strikeout total - 48 in 67.0 innings - wasn’t eye-popping. The case for him is built on the stuff that did show up: a 5.0 BB%, seventh-best among qualified relievers, and a sinker that averaged 97.8 mph as part of a five-pitch mix.

If the swing-and-miss comes later, great. If not, he still profiles as a ground-ball arm who can keep the ball in the yard.

Emilio Pagán is another bullpen name that fits the Mariners’ range. MLB Trade Rumors has him at two years, $20 million, and he’s on the market after declining a $10 million player option with the Cincinnati Reds.

There appears to be mutual interest in a return to Cincinnati, so prying him away could be the challenge. But Seattle has a pitch to make.

Pagán started his major league career there, and his home-road split with the Reds - a 4.35 ERA at home and 2.30 on the road - suggests T-Mobile Park might be a friendlier landing spot than Great American Ball Park. He’d also give the Mariners another look in the late innings, with 57 saves and a 0.961 WHIP over the last two seasons.

That could matter if Andrés Muñoz doesn’t bounce back from his 2026 struggles.

Bryan Abreu is the more aggressive swing. MLB Trade Rumors projects him at two years, $22 million, which already pushes harder against what looks like a tighter budget.

FanGraphs has only a $21 million gap between what the Mariners spent in 2026 and what they project to spend in 2027, so the money itself is part of the problem. The other issue is control.

Abreu has walked 4.3 batters per nine innings for his career, and that number jumped to 5.9 per nine innings this year. That’s not exactly the profile of a pitcher Seattle would usually embrace.

But the upside is obvious: his 97th-percentile whiff rate this year says the swing-and-miss is real. If the Mariners think they can live with the walks, he’d bring a different kind of weapon to the bullpen.

The infield market feels a little more familiar, and J.P. Crawford is the first name that jumps off the page.

MLB Trade Rumors projects him at two years, $16 million, which makes him the most natural fit if Seattle wants a veteran who can handle third base or shortstop. He’s also the easiest emotional fit.

Crawford loves Seattle, Seattle loves him, and it’s hard to picture the roster without him. Just as important, he’s already moved toward a more flexible role.

If he returns, he could keep doing what he did this season: rotate between shortstop and third base while working tough at-bats near the bottom of the lineup.

Mauricio Dubón is the stronger all-around defender, and the price isn’t dramatically different. MLB Trade Rumors projects him at two years, $18 million.

That extra $2 million over Crawford is a real question, but Dubón brings a different level of versatility. He’s a two-time utility Gold Glove winner and a plus defender at every spot he plays.

At shortstop and third base, he’s at +18 and +2 Outs Above Average, and he can also handle second base and all three outfield spots. He’d also help balance a lineup that leans left, since he hits right-handed and owns a .740 OPS against lefties for his career.

Even in a more limited role, he’d fit into a rotating platoon.

Edmundo Sosa is the bargain version of that same idea. MLB Trade Rumors doesn’t project a deal for him, but FanGraphs has him at one year and $5 million, which makes him an interesting lower-cost option.

Like Dubón, he’s a multi-position defender with strong numbers at shortstop and third base - +17 and +7 OAA, respectively. He doesn’t bring quite the same outfield experience, though he did show this year that he can handle left field in a pinch, which matters because Seattle has an opening there too.

At the plate, he’s also right-handed, but more of a platoon bat than an everyday player. Still, his .806 OPS against lefties for his career gives him a real case as a useful part-time piece.

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