The Seattle Mariners appear headed for a coaching change, not a front-office overhaul.
Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic reported that manager Dan Wilson is the most likely person to lose his job this offseason, and that lines up with what’s been circulating for weeks. Rosenthal made the same point last week on Foul Territory. At the same time, he said there’s been no indication from ownership that Jerry Dipoto or Justin Hollander are on the way out.
That split matters. The staff may get reshaped, but the people steering the organization still look safe for now.
Wilson’s possible exit is being framed as the price of the 2026 Mariners’ failures, and Rosenthal’s reporting points in that direction. There’s no joy in that reality, especially for a manager who is described as a good man, a legendary Mariners figure, and someone who is well-liked by his players.
There’s also the timing to consider. Buster Olney of ESPN discussed the looming labor situation on the Refuse to Lose Territory podcast last week and said some owners may be inclined to stay conservative with changes because of the uncertainty ahead. He noted that the lockout is expected to begin at the start of December, which would freeze baseball moves and leave teams without clear financial rules or even a firm timeline for when play resumes.
Olney also said that could make owners want a familiar face in place when the sport comes out the other side of the labor mess. He pointed to how chaotic things can get once the freeze lifts, recalling the 1995 Orioles situation and the flurry of activity that followed.
Still, the Mariners are not acting in a vacuum. The Houston Astros already fired general manager Dana Brown.
The Los Angeles Angels moved on from Perry Minasian long ago. And when the Boston Red Sox parted ways with Dave Dombrowski, they did it in August to get a head start on the next hire.
So if Seattle were planning a full reset, the question becomes obvious: why hasn’t it happened already?
For now, the signs point to change on the bench and stability in the front office. The Mariners begin a three-game series against the Rockies on Friday, and they’re 5.5 games behind both the Astros and Texas Rangers.
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For the Mariners, that means the work of keeping Arozarena in Seattle may not be as straightforward as it once looked. Arizonas outfield opening gives it a possible lane to pursue him, adding another interested club to a situation Seattle would rather control before the offseason arrives. [Read more 🡒]