As the Seattle Mariners wrap up spring training, anticipation is building for Opening Day. This time of year is ripe for predictions, and we've got some intriguing ones for the 2026 Mariners. Let's dive into a mix of safe bets and bold forecasts that could shape their season.
Safe Predictions for the 2026 Mariners
Repeating as AL West Champions
After a hard-fought battle to claim the AL West title in 2025-their first since 2001-the Mariners are poised to defend their crown. On paper, they’re the team to beat in the division. Projections are optimistic, with FanGraphs predicting a seven-game lead over their Texas rivals, while Baseball Prospectus suggests an even more comfortable nine-game cushion.
Leading the League in All-Stars
Last season, the Mariners nearly topped the league with five All-Stars, just shy of the Padres' six. This year, those same players-Cal Raleigh, Julio Rodríguez, Randy Arozarena, Bryan Woo, and Andrés Muñoz-are strong candidates to make repeat appearances. Add in former All-Stars like Josh Naylor and Brendan Donovan, and potential newcomers like Bryce Miller, Matt Brash, and Cole Young, and the Mariners could easily dominate the All-Star selections.
A Cy Young Award Finalist Emerges
The Mariners haven't seen a pitcher in the top three of Cy Young voting since Félix Hernández in 2014. But with George Kirby, Logan Gilbert, and Bryan Woo all inching closer in recent years, this could be the season one of them breaks through. A healthy Bryce Miller adds another potential contender to the mix.
Bold Predictions for the 2026 Mariners
Julio Rodríguez Wins AL MVP
While Aaron Judge remains a formidable opponent, Julio Rodríguez is poised for greatness. Despite a slow start last year, he still managed a 30-30 season with 6.8 rWAR. If he starts strong, a 40-40 season with 10 rWAR isn’t out of reach, making him a prime MVP candidate.
Crossing the 100-Win Threshold
Though no team has reached 100 wins in the past two seasons, the Mariners have the roster depth to break that trend. Their 116-win season in 2001 remains a high-water mark, but with the AL West competition waning, surpassing 100 wins is within their grasp.
Winning the World Series
Yes, we're going there. The Mariners have yet to make a World Series appearance, but this could be their year.
With an elite roster and the experience of a near-miss in 2025, the stars may finally align. While the Dodgers loom large, history shows that dynasties are rare, and the Mariners' time might just be now.
With a mix of talent, experience, and a touch of destiny, the Mariners are set for an exciting 2026 season. Whether these predictions come true remains to be seen, but one thing is certain: it's going to be a thrilling ride for Seattle fans.