Dan Wilson’s hold on the Mariners’ dugout may come down to the next few weeks.
Bob Nightengale of USA Today reported Sunday that Seattle is expected to fire Wilson if the club misses the playoffs. Nightengale said the same would apply to Houston manager Joe Espada, with the Mariners chasing the Astros in the American League West.
Seattle entered Sunday at 58-66, sitting eight games below .500 and five back of Houston in the division. The Mariners also had 38 games left to sort out their season and, by extension, Wilson’s future.
Wilson’s path to this point has been a long one in Seattle. He spent 12 of his 14 big league seasons with the Mariners, serving as the catcher for many of the most successful teams in franchise history. Seattle has reached the American League Championship Series four times, and Wilson was behind the plate for three of those runs in 1995, 2000 and 2001.
As a player, he hit .262 and made one All-Star team. After his playing days ended, he stayed connected to the organization as a roving instructor and part-time broadcaster before being promoted to manager in 2024.
The move was not universally embraced at the time, but Wilson’s first season and change in the chair quieted plenty of the noise. After replacing Scott Servais in August of 2024, he went 21-13 and nearly pushed Seattle into the postseason. Then came 2025, when the Mariners went 90-72, won the American League West for the first time since 2001 and returned to the ALCS.
This season has gone in the opposite direction, with Seattle among the most disappointing teams in baseball.
Pinning that collapse on Wilson alone would be too simple. Cal Raleigh has gone from one of the best hitters in baseball to one of the worst.
Rob Refsnyder, brought in this past offseason to bolster the offense, fell off before being designated for assignment. Brendan Donovan, viewed as the missing piece for Seattle, has appeared in barely 30 games because of multiple injuries.
The injury list has only grown from there. Julio Rodriguez, Randy Arozarena, Matt Brash, Gabe Speier, Carlos Vargas and JP Crawford have all missed time, with Crawford going on the injured list three times and Brash twice.
Still, there have been decisions that left fans frustrated, and the noise around those choices has only grown louder as the losses have piled up.
Whether Wilson should be fired in season is a different question. The argument has been that last year’s ALCS run should have bought him more security, but that protection does not last forever. If Seattle keeps underachieving over the final 38 games, the conversation around his job will change fast.
If the Mariners do decide to move on, the process will need to be handled carefully. Wilson is still a franchise icon, and any change would have to reflect the respect his career has earned.
Seattle is scheduled to face the Astros on Sunday at 4:20 p.m. PT, with Bryan Woo set to start against Hunter Brown.
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Three Mariners Now Hold The Key To Seattles AL West Push
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Cal Raleigh, Julio Rodrguez and Andrs Muoz have each become part of that equation for different reasons. Raleigh has not matched his offensive standard from a year ago, Rodrguez has kept producing at a steady level, and Muoz has had his share of late-game trouble as the closer. If the Mariners are going to make a real push in the division, the final weeks may hinge on which version of those three shows up most often. [Read more 🡒]