Cal Raleigh has spent enough time on the injured list and back in the lineup now for the Mariners to stop treating his rough stretch like a temporary inconvenience. The patience meter is gone. What’s left is frustration.
That wasn’t supposed to be the case when Raleigh returned from a strained oblique on June 16. The injury gave him a built-in explanation for a sluggish start, and the hope was that he’d look more like himself once he was back. Instead, the numbers since his activation have been underwhelming in a different way.
Before the injury, Raleigh had played 41 games and hit .161/.243/.317 with seven home runs and a 62 wRC+. Since coming off the IL, he’s hit .174/.345/.261 with one home run and a 92 wRC+ over 14 games.
The on-base percentage is better, and that’s tied to a walk rate that’s more than twice what it was before he was sidelined. He’s also delivered a couple of clutch two-run singles that helped Seattle win games.
But the real issue is obvious: the power hasn’t shown up.
That’s a problem for any catcher, and it’s a bigger one for Raleigh, who was already a dependable 30-homer bat before exploding for 60 homers in a historic 2025 season. Even now, he’s not just missing the damage; he’s missing the kind of contact that would make the rest of it matter. His expected slugging percentage has dropped from .387 to .294, a level that puts him in the David Hamilton range of slugging ineptitude.
The swing-and-miss remains part of the story, too. Raleigh’s strikeout rate has barely moved, from 31.5 percent before the injury to 31.0 percent after it. His overall 31.4 K% ranks in the eighth percentile among all hitters.
That’s the part that has made the slump feel so jarring. It’s not just that Raleigh isn’t homering.
He’s not consistently looking like a hitter who’s in control of his at-bats. The disconnect has been obvious enough that fans have been reacting pitch by pitch.
Tuesday’s game against the Los Angeles Angels offered two fresh examples. Against Brent Suter, Raleigh chased two pitches out of the zone before taking an 89 mph pitch right down the middle for strike three. Against José Soriano, he only managed to foul off a hanging splitter that Aaron Goldsmith sounded surprised he didn’t hammer.
The Mariners can’t really absorb this version of Raleigh for long. No one expected him to hit 60 home runs again, but 30 to 40 was a reasonable place to land, and that kind of production would still have made him the centerpiece of the offense’s power game.
Instead, Seattle has been left trying to make up for the gap he’s created. That gap matters because the offense has already disappointed, and the trade deadline may not provide the kind of rescue that can simply replace Raleigh’s missing production. Unless Byron Buxton changes his tune, there isn’t a player the Mariners can realistically acquire who will cover for him by himself.
Help from elsewhere would matter. Julio Rodríguez going on his annual second-half heater would help.
A healthy Brendan Donovan would help. So would steady production from Randy Arozarena and Dominic Canzone.
But those names are supposed to support Raleigh, not carry the load for him.
And with the Mariners sitting just a game over .500 and tied for first in the AL West, they already know how much this version of Raleigh can drag them down. The only thing worse than living with it now would be finding out it can still get worse.
In Other News...
Olney Just Floated A Mariners Trade Fit Fans Will Debate
Buster Olney spent part of a recent appearance on the Refuse to Lose Territory podcast talking through where the Mariners stand and what kind of move could make sense if they decide to add. His basic point was familiar for a Seattle roster that has spent much of the year searching for more stability at the top of the order: the club could use a bat that brings on-base ability and some lineup balance, especially from the right side.
The name he floated is one that would get plenty of debate around here, because it comes with both fit and timing questions attached. The player is a right-handed outfielder who could slide into a leadoff role, and he is also on track to hit free agency after the season, which only adds to the intrigue for a Mariners front office that has to weigh present-day help against longer-term flexibility. [Read more 🡒]
Mariners Just Caught A Break In The AL West Race
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For Seattle, the timing matters because the As have not just been missing one bat, but have been forced to navigate a string of injuries that has thinned out their division challenge. Rookers year ends with a .200/.281/.389 line, 10 homers and 29 RBIs in 48 games, and the Mariners will be watching closely to see whether this latest setback changes how much resistance they have to deal with down the stretch. [Read more 🡒]
Andrs Muoz May Have Just Changed Seattles Trade Deadline Plans
Andrs Muozs season has taken a turn at just the right time for Seattle. After a rough first half, the Mariners closer has settled in with a stretch of scoreless outings, giving the bullpen a much steadier late-game answer and easing some of the pressure on the front office as the trade deadline approaches.
Muozs rebound does not erase Seattles need for help, though. The Mariners still have reason to shop for relief depth, and the conversation now looks more about reinforcing the middle and back end of the bullpen than chasing a new ninth-inning arm. With a few names already circulating as possible fits, the deadline picture has shifted from urgency to fit, which is a better place for Seattle to be. [Read more 🡒]
