Giants Rotation Need Could Push Them Into A Risky Contract Gamble

Can the SF Giants leverage a strategic trade to revitalize their starting rotation and acquire Spencer Strider despite his recent struggles?

The SF Giants know they need help in the rotation this offseason, and if they want to avoid a major free-agent splash, a trade could be the path that makes the most sense.

One possibility worth watching is Spencer Strider. The Atlanta Braves recently explored a salary-swap deal with the Texas Rangers that would have sent Strider to Texas for Jacob deGrom, but deGrom used his no-trade clause to stop it. If Atlanta is still looking to move Strider’s money, San Francisco could be a logical team to call.

Strider is injured right now, and the last two seasons have been a mixed bag even when he has been available. He was an All-Star in 2023, but since then he has had trouble staying healthy and hasn’t pitched like that version of himself.

In 2024, he posted a 4.45 ERA in 23 starts. This season, he has a 5.31 ERA in eight starts.

The contract is the part that makes this tricky. Strider is owed $20 million this season, then $22 million in each of the next two seasons, with a club option for 2029 after that. That’s a hefty price for a pitcher who has been inconsistent and injured, but it also creates the kind of opening the Giants could potentially exploit if they believe they can get him back on track.

If San Francisco wants to make the numbers work, the Braves might be willing to take on one of the Giants’ own big contracts. Matt Chapman or Willy Adames could be the pieces that make sense. Atlanta has had trouble settling the shortstop spot this season, and even though Adames has had his own struggles, dealt with injuries, and is owed $31 million per season through 2031, a fresh start might help.

Chapman is another possibility. Austin Riley hasn’t been his usual self at third base for Atlanta, so Chapman could fit there if the Braves want a veteran option. He’s had his own injury issues and uneven production this year, but if he’s healthy, his defense still gives him real value.

There’s one catch: both Chapman and Adames have no-trade clauses, so either one could shut the deal down if he doesn’t want to go to Atlanta. That’s exactly what deGrom did. Still, that shouldn’t stop the Giants from at least trying, especially since the team has actually played better without both players.

A move for Strider would look a lot like the Giants’ trade for Robbie Ray. Ray came in after a 2023 season that was basically wiped out after one start and Tommy John surgery, but before that he’d been an AL Cy Young winner in 2021. San Francisco took the gamble that the old version was still in there.

They got close. In his one full season with the Giants, Ray was an All-Star.

That’s the type of swing San Francisco may need again. If the Giants want the rotation to be more than Logan Webb and four average-at-best arms next season, they’ll have to get creative. A salary swap for Strider might be exactly the kind of move that fits.

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