The Giants look headed toward seller mode at the deadline, and that puts a few familiar names in the rumor mill. Luis Arraez and Robbie Ray would not be a shock as trade candidates, especially with both set to hit free agency after 2026. But when it comes to the three pricey veterans San Francisco would most like to move - Willy Adames, Matt Chapman and Rafael Devers - one of them stands out as the most realistic chip.
That player is Chapman.
ESPN’s Kiley McDaniel and Jeff Passan put Chapman at a 25% chance of being traded, and that number is higher than the odds for either Devers or Adames for one simple reason: defense. As Passan and McDaniel put it, “Nobody is taking Rafael Devers unless San Francisco pays down significantly the $211 million he is owed after this season or takes on bad contracts,” and “The same goes for Willy Adames, whose defense has gone in the wrong direction. Chapman's glove salvages his value and puts him at least in play.”
That’s the key difference. All three contracts are heavy.
Devers still has $211 million left after this season. Adames is only in year two of a seven-year, $182 million deal.
Chapman is tied up through 2030 on a six-year, $151 million contract. But Chapman is the one who gives a team something it can really use right away: elite third-base defense.
Age also tilts the conversation. Adames is 30 and Devers is 29, while Chapman is 33.
Even so, Chapman is the more attractive trade target because he’s a little cheaper, under control for less time, and brings a much better glove than the other two infielders. His offense is not overwhelming - his 97 OPS+ leaves plenty to be desired - and he’s currently on the injured list.
Still, compared with Devers and Adames, he’s the one who can plausibly be moved without San Francisco having to absorb a massive chunk of money.
So if the Giants do end up dealing one of their expensive veterans this summer, Chapman looks like the most movable piece of the group. His defense keeps him in the conversation in a way the others simply don’t match.
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